Kalshi

Government shutdown odds spike ahead of Valentine’s Day

As funding talks fizzle between the GOP and Democrats in Congress, traders are expecting a partial government shutdown to begin this weekend. Kalshi markets now show an 82% chance of a shutdown beginning on Saturday. The shutdown saga continues Earlier this year, the most recent shutdown was ended after only

Kalshi

Feb 11, 2026

Politics

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Government shutdown odds spike ahead of Valentine’s Day

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Kalshi

Government shutdown odds spike ahead of Valentine’s Day

Featured posts

Silicon Bakery — A Rundown of Nvidia's Investments: What Does It Tell Us?

Silicon Bakery - What' behind Nvidia's alleged 15%+ Ai server price hike? A story of supply chain shortage, but what's your take on Ai trajectory?

AI Speedrun - Brakes and Breakthroughs: OpenAi’s Pause, Anthropic’s results, chip shart-up’s win, and Cursor’s power Play?

AI Speedrun - Google just paid $10M to buy a dead airline's data — a cheap win for its AI, but may not be a positive catalyst, yet — and what’s worth digging?

Commodity Desk - If Hormuz Reopens, the Barrels Will Still Lag: Why Oil’s Peace Trade Could Overshoot

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