Prediction Market
Operational Updates - Robinhood Prediction Markets Outpace Stock Revenue
Robinhood’s prediction market business has now overtaken stock trading revenue, after previously surpassing cryptocurrency trading.
Giants-Angels Score Correction Caused Bonding Bot Losses on Kalshi
A scoring correction turned an 8-6 Giants win into 7-6, exposing bonding bot activities and inconsistent settlements.
Trump's Teleprompter Operator Faces Probe Over Kalshi Mention Market Trades
A White House teleprompter operator allegedly turned advance access to Trump’s speeches into a six-figure prediction-market edge.
Are Prediction Markets Becoming the New Election Dashboard?
Reuters(July 22) - Kalshi has launched a dedicated U.S. midterm election hub combining real time prediction market prices with polling averages, campaign fundraising, historical results, and political analysis. Will prediction market becomes a standard feature of major election dashboards by Dec. 2026? YESResult46.83%NOResult53.17%489 PollsEndedTBD Notes
Financial Forecasts - Robinhood Prediction Market Revenue to Top Crypto (July 2026)
Trading platform Robinhood Markets Inc.’s revenue from prediction market is set to overshadow that from cryptocurrency trading, starting as soon as the second quarter, analysts at Bernstein and Piper Sandler said this week.
Kalshi's Files Contracts for Airport Flight Cancellation Rate
Kalshi’s airport flight cancellation contracts reduce manipulation risk, but basis risk makes them a weak hedge for any one traveler.
Polymarket Is Back in the U.S. But the Bigger Story Is What Comes Next
For more than three years, Polymarket operated outside the U.S. after settling charges with the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) in early 2022. It changed when Polymarket acquired CFTC-regulated exchange and clearinghouse QCX, giving it a legal pathway back into the American market. Since then, Polymarket
The Bonds Hidden Inside Prediction Markets
Prediction markets start as probability markets. Near certainty, some of them quietly become more like bond markets.
In Japan, A New Type of Prediction Market is Taking Advantages of the Loophole in Gambling Regulations
From the rapidly developing point based prediction applications in Japan, we can see the demand for event forecasting is spreading into Asia. The business model is rely on the loyalty points, regulatory arbitrage and advertising, which differs from the trading fee as commonly known. Will Japan formally regulate prediction markets
Breaking News - Mark Zuckerberg Directed Meta to Create a Prediction Markets App
The experimental app, internally called “Arena,” would be independent of Facebook and Instagram. It could compete for attention with Polymarket and Kalshi, the biggest prediction markets. Will Meta launch Prediction Markets App by end of 2026? Yes - it shipsResult57.14%No - quietly killedResult42.86%7 PollsEndedTBD What would actually get
CFTC sues Kentucky over actions against prediction markets, making it first red state to face federal scrutiny
The CFTC's suit against Kentucky underscores a growing federal-state clash over regulating prediction markets as swaps versus gambling.
Meta Building Prediction Market App That Wouldn’t Wager Money
Meta is developing a social prediction-market app using points, not real money, to leverage rising industry interest without financial risk.
