Prediction Market
Are Prediction Markets Becoming the New Election Dashboard?
Reuters(July 22) - Kalshi has launched a dedicated U.S. midterm election hub combining real time prediction market prices with polling averages, campaign fundraising, historical results, and political analysis. Will prediction market becomes a standard feature of major election dashboards by Dec. 2026? YESResult50.00%NOResult50.00%2 PollsEndedTBD Notes
Robinhood Prediction Market Revenue to Top Crypto
Trading platform Robinhood Markets Inc.’s revenue from prediction market is set to overshadow that from cryptocurrency trading, starting as soon as the second quarter, analysts at Bernstein and Piper Sandler said this week.
Polymarket Is Back in the U.S. But the Bigger Story Is What Comes Next
For more than three years, Polymarket operated outside the U.S. after settling charges with the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) in early 2022. It changed when Polymarket acquired CFTC-regulated exchange and clearinghouse QCX, giving it a legal pathway back into the American market. Since then, Polymarket
In Japan, A New Type of Prediction Market is Taking Advantages of the Loophole in Gambling Regulations
From the rapidly developing point based prediction applications in Japan, we can see the demand for event forecasting is spreading into Asia. The business model is rely on the loyalty points, regulatory arbitrage and advertising, which differs from the trading fee as commonly known. Will Japan formally regulate prediction markets
CFTC sues Kentucky over actions against prediction markets, making it first red state to face federal scrutiny
The CFTC's suit against Kentucky underscores a growing federal-state clash over regulating prediction markets as swaps versus gambling.
Meta Building Prediction Market App That Wouldn’t Wager Money
Meta is developing a social prediction-market app using points, not real money, to leverage rising industry interest without financial risk.
Kalshi Adds India to Restricted List After Prediction Market Ban
Kalshi restricts India access after authorities warn prediction markets are illegal, highlighting regulatory risks for such platforms.
We Investigated Polymarket’s Deceptive Marketing Campaign. Here’s What We Found.
Polymarket, banned in the U.S., employs deceptive social media campaigns to attract American users, risking regulatory scrutiny.
World Cup Exposes Growing Global Rift Over Prediction Markets
Prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket face global regulatory crackdowns as their explosive growth collides with gambling and securities law concerns.
The Proposed Rules for Kalshi and Polymarket Are Backward
The CFTC's proposal for provisional prediction market contracts swaps clear standards for subjective "public interest" reviews, undermining the markets' ability to aggregate dispersed information.
Polymarket Traders Clash Over $345 Million Iran Peace Market
Prediction markets struggle to resolve bets on ambiguous real-world events, exposing vulnerabilities in decentralized dispute mechanisms like UMA.
Kalshi Builds AI Agent to Stress-Test Prediction Market Bets
Kalshi uses an internal AI agent to manage complex prediction market contract wording, reflecting a trend of startups automating high-stakes tasks.
