Legal
In Japan, A New Type of Prediction Market is Taking Advantages of the Loophole in Gambling Regulations
From the rapidly developing point based prediction applications in Japan, we can see the demand for event forecasting is spreading into Asia. The business model is rely on the loyalty points, regulatory arbitrage and advertising, which differs from the trading fee as commonly known. Will Japan formally regulate prediction markets
CFTC sues Kentucky over actions against prediction markets, making it first red state to face federal scrutiny
The CFTC's suit against Kentucky underscores a growing federal-state clash over regulating prediction markets as swaps versus gambling.
SEC Chief Atkins Pumps the Brakes on Prediction-Market Funds
SEC delays prediction-market ETFs, signaling caution about stretching the $15T wrapper to event contracts despite industry's push for novel products.
Kalshi Grilled by Massachusetts High Court Over What Gambling Is
Massachusetts' top court scrutinizes Kalshi's claim that prediction markets are financial swaps, not gambling, in a case testing state vs. federal regulatory authority.
Polymarket Seeks CFTC Blessing to Bring Main Exchange Back to US
Polymarket is seeking CFTC approval to reopen its main exchange to US users, a move that could accelerate the industry's growth amid ongoing regulatory uncertainty.
Brazil Blocks Polymarket, Kalshi Over ‘Illegal Betting’
Brazil blocks prediction markets like Polymarket, joining a global regulatory pushback against platforms accused of operating as unlicensed gambling.
Prediction Markets Ramp Up Washington Lobbying to Stop US Rules
Prediction markets are ramping up lobbying to fight congressional efforts to regulate them as gambling and curb insider trading risks.
Kalshi Wins Reprieve From Arizona Criminal Case at CFTC’s Urging
A federal judge temporarily halted Arizona’s criminal case against prediction market Kalshi after the CFTC argued state prosecutions unlawfully encroach on federal authority over derivatives markets.
The big state gamble on prediction markets
Prediction markets such as Kalshi are forcing a high-stakes showdown between state gambling laws and the CFTC’s claim of exclusive federal oversight over event-based derivatives.
Kalshi Win in New Jersey Fight Hailed as Big Victory Over States
A US appeals court ruling that Kalshi falls under CFTC oversight strengthens federal authority over fast-growing prediction markets, but a sharp dissent signals continuing state–federal clashes over gambling regulation.
CFTC Sues Illinois Over State Effort to Limit Prediction Markets
The CFTC has sued Illinois officials to block state gambling enforcement against prediction markets, escalating a jurisdictional clash over who regulates the booming industry.
Kalshi Approved for Margin Trading as It Lures Wall Street Pros
Kalshi won approval to offer margin trading via a new futures commission merchant unit, positioning it to court institutional investors and accelerate mainstream adoption.
