Regulatory
FlightAware Sues Kalshi for Unauthorized Use of Its Name and Data
Kalshi named FlightAware as its primary settlement source of its flight-cancellation event contracts. But FlightAware said no.
Giants-Angels Score Correction Caused Bonding Bot Losses on Kalshi
A scoring correction turned an 8-6 Giants win into 7-6, exposing bonding bot activities and inconsistent settlements.
Trump's Teleprompter Operator Faces Probe Over Kalshi Mention Market Trades
A White House teleprompter operator allegedly turned advance access to Trump’s speeches into a six-figure prediction-market edge.
Breaking News - Trump to allow direct US flights to Lebanon after 41-year halt
July 21, 2026 - Announcement comes after White House meeting with Lebanese president in which Trump vowed to help ‘a lot’
Novo Nordisk sues Lilly, claiming misleading ads in weight-loss drug battle - July 2026
LONDON, July 21 (Reuters) - Novo Nordisk sued rival Eli Lilly in a U.S. federal court on Tuesday, accusing the U.S. drugmaker of false advertising in claiming its weight-loss medicines outperform Novo's drugs.
Market Rumor - Hong Kong Considers Longer Stock Trading Hours, Ending Lunch Break
Hong Kong’s stock exchange is considering an extension of equity trading hours to align with most global markets, including a proposal to eliminate the lunch break, according to people familiar with the matter.
Kalshi's Files Contracts for Airport Flight Cancellation Rate
Kalshi’s airport flight cancellation contracts reduce manipulation risk, but basis risk makes them a weak hedge for any one traveler.
Are Weather Delay Contracts About the Weather or the Officials?
Kalshi’s weather-delay markets reveal a grey area between weather forecasting, sports betting and official discretion.
Polymarket Is Back in the U.S. But the Bigger Story Is What Comes Next
For more than three years, Polymarket operated outside the U.S. after settling charges with the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) in early 2022. It changed when Polymarket acquired CFTC-regulated exchange and clearinghouse QCX, giving it a legal pathway back into the American market. Since then, Polymarket
The Bonds Hidden Inside Prediction Markets
Prediction markets start as probability markets. Near certainty, some of them quietly become more like bond markets.
Rules & Mandates - Insight of the Rebuild: Venezuela’s Economic Recovery vs. Global Capital Constraints
Why people focus on a V-shaped Venezuelan oil recovery are mispricing global liquidity, crowding-out effects, and Big Tech’s capital monopoly.
Spotify Verifies Streaming Manipulation After Malcolm Todd’s Suspicious Numbers
A Kalshi-Spotify incident shows how settlement based on the first print can reward temporary manipulation.
