58 posts

Regulatory

Google Engineer Charged With Insider Trading on Polymarket

Prediction markets face growing insider-trading risks as cases like the Google engineer's Polymarket bets highlight vulnerabilities.

White House Reviews CFTC Plan to Supervise Prediction Markets

CFTC is asserting federal authority over the booming prediction market industry, proposing new rules in a jurisdictional battle with states seeking to regulate it as gambling.

Bad Behavior Is Moving Markets. Where Are the Regulators?

Lax oversight of prediction markets and traditional assets fuels insider trading risks, eroding investor trust in market integrity.

Polymarket, Kalshi Face Spanish Ban

Spain moves to block prediction platforms Polymarket and Kalshi, highlighting growing regulatory scrutiny of the fast-expanding betting markets.

Polymarket Banned in Indonesia After Bets on Prabowo’s Ouster

Prediction markets face growing global regulatory crackdowns as governments classify them as gambling and move to block access over political and security concerns.

Short sellers reap more than $2.3bn profit betting against gambling companies

Hedge funds are capitalizing on online gambling stocks' decline, driven by US prediction market growth and UK tax hikes.

South Korea Probes Polymarket for Potential Gambling Violations

Prediction markets face expanding regulatory scrutiny as platforms like Polymarket clash with strict national gambling laws despite their growth.

SEC Chief Atkins Pumps the Brakes on Prediction-Market Funds

SEC delays prediction-market ETFs, signaling caution about stretching the $15T wrapper to event contracts despite industry's push for novel products.

Massive Options Bet Rattles Oil Market On Edge Over Iran War

A massive, unexplained Brent crude options trade is amplifying market jitters and integrity concerns amid geopolitical volatility and regulatory scrutiny.

Kalshi, Polymarket Defy India Ban on Online Betting Platforms

Prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi defy India's gambling ban, testing global regulatory limits as they expand.

Nvidia earnings call drama: Will Jensen Huang talk 'Trump' and China chips after Xi summit?

Prediction markets are using Nvidia's earnings call to wager on geopolitical risks, from Trump mentions to tariffs and Taiwan tensions.

There’s Still Time to Make Prediction Markets Useful

Deregulation has fueled a prediction market boom, but the resulting sports-dominated platforms now face a reckoning over whether they are gambling or socially useful forecasting tools.

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