The Financial Times
Short sellers reap more than $2.3bn profit betting against gambling companies
Hedge funds are capitalizing on online gambling stocks' decline, driven by US prediction market growth and UK tax hikes.
Polymarket anonymity must end
Crypto prediction markets' anonymity enables manipulation like insider trading and wash trading, requiring KYC verification to build trust and gain regulatory approval.
US soldier pleads not guilty over prediction trades on Maduro capture
A US soldier's insider-trading case on Polymarket emerges as an early legal test for regulating the rapidly growing prediction markets.
Business school professors’ picks: discussion on Prediction Market
Prediction markets are scaling rapidly, but concerns over financial exploitation and regulatory gaps challenge their legitimacy.
Robinhood excludes some prediction markets over manipulation fears
Robinhood is aggressively expanding into prediction markets but is excluding riskier contracts such as “mention markets” amid mounting concerns over manipulation, insider trading and regulatory scrutiny.
The big state gamble on prediction markets
Prediction markets such as Kalshi are forcing a high-stakes showdown between state gambling laws and the CFTC’s claim of exclusive federal oversight over event-based derivatives.
Prediction markets: the hunt for the new ‘dumb money’
Prediction markets such as Polymarket and Kalshi are drawing a wave of Gen Z retail bettors, but data show most lose money while a tiny, sophisticated minority captures the gains.
Trump has undermined the US national security apparatus
Trump’s unchecked rush to war with Iran, enabled by a gutted diplomatic and security apparatus, underscores how weakened institutions are eroding constitutional and practical restraints on US military power.
Prediction market Kalshi seeks US approval to offer margin trades
Prediction market operator Kalshi is seeking US regulatory approval to allow margin trading on its platform, as it seeks to lure institutional investors with more sophisticated financial contracts. Kalshi has held meetings with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission over several months in its effort to win approval, according to people
Featured posts
From curious to confident
Join the sharpest forecasters online, get top contracts, platform updates & market signals - free.
Subscribe