Rules & Mandates
Rules & Mandates - Greek shipping carve-out on Russia sanctions prompts EU rethink
Brussels is considering changing the way the European Union adopts sanctions against Russia after Greece delayed a broad package while seeking protections for a domestic shipping company.
Rules & Mandates - Avoids Trump's July 4 Tariff Deadline: Why "De-Escalation" Is the Wrong Read
A look at what the EU-US tariff deal actually locks in, why markets are reading it as de-escalation, and why the underlying trade risk hasn't gone away for the companies caught in the middle.
Rules & Mandates - Deadly twin quakes are a gut punch to a Venezuelan economy already on its knees
The strongest earthquake hit Venezuela in a century, at the worst possible moment for the country's fragile political transition. Will U.S. emergency aid strengthen Venezuela’s post-Maduro government? YesResult75.00%NoResult25.00%4 PollsEndedTBD June 25（CNN）- the disaster struck while acting President Delcy Rodríguez was
Commodity Desk - The Iran deal came just in time as Strategic Petroleum Reserve hits lowest level since 1983
U.S. Strategic Petroleum Reserve stocks have fallen to a 40-year low following massive releases to counter Iran war disruptions, heightening risks of a price spike.
Rules & Mandates - Beyond the Headline Odds: How Colombia’s Election Markets Fit Together
Linked Colombia presidential election markets reveal one implied election path, and a hidden runoff assumption behind the headline odds.
Rules & Mandates - SEC Chief Atkins Pumps the Brakes on Prediction-Market Funds
SEC delays prediction-market ETFs, signaling caution about stretching the $15T wrapper to event contracts despite industry's push for novel products.
Rules & Mandates - Andy Burnham Is the Favourite. That Does Not Make Him Inevitable
Burnham may be Labour’s strongest replacement, but markets are pricing a coronation before he clears the institutional gates in the parliament.
Rules & Mandates - Trump to announce tariff truce extension, aircraft purchases from Boeing in China, traders predict
Prediction markets are pricing specific diplomatic outcomes from the Trump-Xi meeting, from Boeing orders to tariff extensions, as geopolitical events become financialized.
Rules & Mandates - Brazil Blocks Polymarket, Kalshi Over ‘Illegal Betting’
Brazil blocks prediction markets like Polymarket, joining a global regulatory pushback against platforms accused of operating as unlicensed gambling.
Rules & Mandates - Brazil approves first prediction markets as financial securities
As the US gambling industry grapples with the emergence of prediction markets, Brazil financial regulators are opening up to similar event markets. The Brazilian Securities and Exchange Commission, CVM, this week gave a green light to B3 to become the first prediction market operator in Brazil. B3 plans to launch
Rules & Mandates - CFTC defends its right to prediction market enforcement as states challenge platforms
CFTC Chairman Michael Selig said the agency has filed an amicus brief in federal court to assert its authority over prediction market enforcement and regulation.
Rules & Mandates - CFTC Withdraws Proposal Banning Prediction Market Sports Betting
The head of the Commodity Futures Trading Commission said the agency has withdrawn a Biden-era proposal that called for prohibiting sports and politics-related wagers on prediction markets. “The 2024 event contracts proposal reflected the prior administration’s frolic into merit regulation with an outright prohibition on political contracts
