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Anecdote
Can You Actually Model Elon's Tweeting? Two Tools Think So
Two new analytics tools help traders on Polymarket's weekly Elon Musk tweet markets move beyond speculation, though ultimately limited by the unpredictable nature of their human subject.
Trump Promises UFO Files Release—Prediction Market Odds On Aliens Climb
Trump vows to declassify UFO files after sparring with Obama, sending “alien disclosure” odds surging on prediction markets despite Pentagon skepticism.
Wall Street Wants to Bring Election Bets Into Brokerage Accounts
Roundhill Investments has asked the US Securities and Exchange Commission for permission to launch six ETFs that would let investors wager on US election outcomes through standard brokerage accounts — the most ambitious attempt yet to bring prediction markets into mainstream finance. The proposed exchange-traded funds, disclosed in a filing
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