Business
Kalshi to Expand Crypto Wagers With Perpetual Futures Push
Kalshi's expansion into crypto perpetual futures marks a strategic shift beyond prediction markets toward sophisticated derivatives trading.
Prediction Markets Ramp Up Washington Lobbying to Stop US Rules
Prediction markets are ramping up lobbying to fight congressional efforts to regulate them as gambling and curb insider trading risks.
Schwab Considering Prediction Markets Linked to Finance Events
Charles Schwab is weighing launching finance-linked prediction markets as rivals push into the space, signaling mainstream brokerages may cautiously embrace betting-style tools while shunning pure gambling.
Wall Street Quants See an Edge in Polymarket Earnings Forecasts
Prediction markets are emerging as a surprisingly accurate, potentially faster alternative to Wall Street analysts for forecasting corporate earnings.
Prediction markets will grow to $1 trillion by 2030, Bernstein estimates
Prediction market volumes are booming in 2026, on pace to more than quadruple this year alone and reach an estimated $1 trillion in the next four years, according to Bernstein. Volumes have already surged in the first few months of this year, the investment bank wrote in a report Tuesday,
Robinhood excludes some prediction markets over manipulation fears
Robinhood is aggressively expanding into prediction markets but is excluding riskier contracts such as “mention markets” amid mounting concerns over manipulation, insider trading and regulatory scrutiny.
Weather Prediction Markets Are Booming. Can They Improve Forecasts?
Weather-focused prediction markets are rapidly expanding from niche bets to tools for testing AI models and pricing climate risk, promising sharper forecasts but raising concerns over manipulation and social value.
Federal Preemption or State Sovereignty? A Legal Analysis and Prospective Assessment of Kalshi v. Nevada
Kalshi and Nevada clash over jurisdiction—federal law vs. state gambling rules. It now comes down to how nine Supreme Court justices read the statute.
‘Death Markets’ and Attack Ads: Prediction Rivalry Turns Nasty
A fierce public spat between Kalshi and Polymarket is exposing deep regulatory and ethical divides in the booming prediction market industry just as Washington scrutiny intensifies.
Brazil’s B3 Eyes Election Bets as It Enters Prediction Markets
Brazil’s B3 is entering prediction markets with new event contracts on assets and possibly elections, testing Brazil’s regulatory gray zone while targeting professional investors ahead of October’s presidential vote.
Kalshi Approved for Margin Trading as It Lures Wall Street Pros
Kalshi won approval to offer margin trading via a new futures commission merchant unit, positioning it to court institutional investors and accelerate mainstream adoption.
Can You Actually Model Elon's Tweeting? Two Tools Think So
Two new analytics tools help traders on Polymarket's weekly Elon Musk tweet markets move beyond speculation, though ultimately limited by the unpredictable nature of their human subject.
