Competition
White House Reviews CFTC Plan to Supervise Prediction Markets
CFTC is asserting federal authority over the booming prediction market industry, proposing new rules in a jurisdictional battle with states seeking to regulate it as gambling.
Nine Crypto Whales Dominate Polymarket Disputes Worth Billions
Polymarket's decentralized dispute system has concentrated power in nine wallets, undermining its credibility as a truth machine and raising market integrity risks.
Polymarket Is Said to Seek Japan Market Approval in Global Push
Polymarket is pushing to enter Japan's restrictive gambling market by 2030, betting on regulatory approval amid global legal and competitive pressures.
OpenAI takes the lead in AI IPO horse race: 'Getting to public markets first is very important'
OpenAI's reported imminent IPO filing has sharply reversed prediction market odds, positioning it to beat Anthropic in the race to become the first major AI company to go public.
Polymarket Deepens Push to Allow Bets on Value of Hot Startups
Polymarket's Nasdaq Private Market partnership expands contracts on unlisted companies, tapping retail investor demand for pre-IPO exposure amid regulatory gray areas.
Virtu Starts Trading on Kalshi as Event Bets Draw in Wall Street
Institutional market-makers like Virtu Financial are entering prediction markets, legitimizing them as a new asset class despite ongoing regulatory and legal uncertainties.
Polymarket Trading Volume Declines for First Time Since August
Polymarket's operational stumbles and first volume drop in eight months highlight its struggle to maintain momentum as rival Kalshi surges ahead.
Kalshi Judge Predicts Tribe Will Win Block on Sports Contracts
A federal judge's ruling signals tribal nations may gain regulatory leverage over prediction markets under IGRA, challenging Kalshi's federal oversight argument.
Trust the Numbers? What to Do When the Data Is Under Attack
Incoming Fed Chair Kevin Warsh faces a squeeze between political pressure on official data and the rise of alternative metrics, forcing him to defend statistical neutrality.
Kalshi Secures $22 Billion Valuation in Coatue-Led Round
Prediction market platforms are seeing valuations surge as trading volumes grow, with Kalshi doubling to $22B amid intense investor interest.
Kalshi Does No Better Than Experts on Key Jobs Forecasting Test
Prediction markets have yet to outperform traditional economists on crucial U.S. jobs data, challenging their promise of superior crowd-sourced accuracy.
Underdog Hires Former Head of Crypto.com Prediction Exchange
Underdog's hiring of a Crypto.com veteran and acquisition of CFTC licenses signals a strategic push to dominate the sports prediction market amid regulatory battles.
