Editorial
Global Chokepoint - Do Hormuz Event Contracts Actually Hedge Anything? - Article 3 of the Hormuz Series, March 2026
Testing when Kalshi and Polymarket contracts hedge real commodity exposure, and when they do not.
Trading Fame: How Prediction Markets Are Redefining Celebrity Equity
Pop culture is undergoing a radical evolution. It’s shifting from a side-hustle category on betting platforms into a sophisticated engine of social data where value is being completely restructured. From Discrete Events to Liquid Assets: The Financialization of Anne Hathaway’s 2026 As we cruise through 2026, the
Global Chokepoint - What Exactly Is a Hormuz Bet? - Article 2 of the Hormuz Series, March 2026
A guide to Hormuz contract design, market structure, and why 7 days is more meaningful than 2 or 14.
Prediction Markets Claimed an Oscar Victory. The Reality Was Messier.
The recent explosion of Kalshi and Polymarket meant Oscar gambling and interest skyrocketed, but these weren’t the healthy predictive markets we've been promised.
AI Speedrun - How AI is helping retail traders exploit prediction market 'glitches' to make easy money
A fully automated bot quietly captured micro-arbitrage opportunities on short-term crypto prediction markets, netting nearly $150,000.
