When Evidence Arrives Late: The MicroStrategy Bitcoin Sale
When truth arrives late, prediction markets reveal a deeper problem: are traders betting on events, evidence, or the rulebook?
Galaxy Digital Sets Up Prediction Market OTC Derivatives Desk
Crypto finance conglomerate Galaxy Digital has launched a trading desk to offer large investors better access to prediction markets.
CFTC Awards Five Whistleblowers $8 Million for Enforcement Tips
The US Commodity Futures Trading Commission said it will award more than $8 million to five whistleblowers who provided information that helped agency investigators recover funds for defrauded investors. The Wall Street regulator didn’t identify the tipsters or the scheme they flagged, but said the individuals helped the agency
Traders on Kalshi indicate that May's jobs report will top Wall Street expectations
Traders on Kalshi expect that job creation in May will see a slowdown but still surpass Dow Jones consensus.
Rubio odds for GOP 2028 nominee close to overtaking Vance on Kalshi
Secretary of State Marco Rubio is seen as increasingly likely to be the GOP nominee in 2028, according to traders on prediction market platforms.
Forget the Dip: Bitmine Accumulates 5.4M ETH - Tom Lee Calls Supercycle
Ethereum’s recent dip below the $2,200 mark seems to have had no impact on large scale accumulation from institutions. And even more so, it encouraged aggressive buying from some of the largest players in the market. For instance, Bitmine took the opportunity to significantly increase their Ethereum holdings
Google Engineer Charged With Insider Trading on Polymarket
Prediction markets face growing insider-trading risks as cases like the Google engineer's Polymarket bets highlight vulnerabilities.
White House Reviews CFTC Plan to Supervise Prediction Markets
CFTC is asserting federal authority over the booming prediction market industry, proposing new rules in a jurisdictional battle with states seeking to regulate it as gambling.
Bad Behavior Is Moving Markets. Where Are the Regulators?
Lax oversight of prediction markets and traditional assets fuels insider trading risks, eroding investor trust in market integrity.
Beyond the Headline Odds: How Colombia’s Election Markets Fit Together
Linked Colombia presidential election markets reveal one implied election path, and a hidden runoff assumption behind the headline odds.
Polymarket, Kalshi Face Spanish Ban
Spain moves to block prediction platforms Polymarket and Kalshi, highlighting growing regulatory scrutiny of the fast-expanding betting markets.
Nine Crypto Whales Dominate Polymarket Disputes Worth Billions
Polymarket's decentralized dispute system has concentrated power in nine wallets, undermining its credibility as a truth machine and raising market integrity risks.
