Traders on Kalshi indicate that May's jobs report will top Wall Street expectations
Traders on Kalshi expect that job creation in May will see a slowdown but still surpass Dow Jones consensus.
Rubio odds for GOP 2028 nominee close to overtaking Vance on Kalshi
Secretary of State Marco Rubio is seen as increasingly likely to be the GOP nominee in 2028, according to traders on prediction market platforms.
When are prediction markets most helpful? Evercore ISI has a formula
Prediction markets are gaining institutional traction, but their forecasting reliability is hampered by low liquidity and ambiguous contract design.
OpenAI takes the lead in AI IPO horse race: 'Getting to public markets first is very important'
OpenAI's reported imminent IPO filing has sharply reversed prediction market odds, positioning it to beat Anthropic in the race to become the first major AI company to go public.
Nvidia earnings call drama: Will Jensen Huang talk 'Trump' and China chips after Xi summit?
Prediction markets are using Nvidia's earnings call to wager on geopolitical risks, from Trump mentions to tariffs and Taiwan tensions.
After the Hottest IPO Debut (Cerebras) of the Year, Will SpaceX Top Over It, and What Next?
Cerebras Systems’ explosive Nasdaq debut has propelled the chip designer into the $100 billion club, boosting AI infrastructure landscape yet again, as it pivots from hardware sales to a direct cloud offensive against titans like Google and Microsoft. With OpenAI once eyeing the company as a "secret weapon"
Nearly 40% chances of stagflation by end of 2026, traders say
Markets now see a 40% chance of stagflation versus just 21% for a soft landing, reflecting fading economic optimism.
Trump to announce tariff truce extension, aircraft purchases from Boeing in China, traders predict
Prediction markets are pricing specific diplomatic outcomes from the Trump-Xi meeting, from Boeing orders to tariff extensions, as geopolitical events become financialized.
Cerebras IPO, US-China Talk Kick-Off in Seoul, Jensen Huang’s Last-Minute Invite, Alibaba/Tencent Results and more — Fueling another Rally or Forging a Rivalry?
AI is pivoting toward a "transactional infrastructure" phase, where the focus has shifted from general AI hype to the specific mechanics of deployment and trade. In the semiconductor space, capital is aggressively chasing inference-specialized hardware to solve the high-latency bottlenecks currently stalling real-time AI applications. Meanwhile, the upcoming
Traders will soon be able to bet on computer chip prices as AI drives costs skyward
Compute futures let traders hedge AI investments against volatile GPU prices in the booming artificial intelligence buildout.
Strategy’s Potential BTC Sell-Off or Circle’s Stablecoin Takeover: Will Crypto Fly or Tank?
Is crypto market yet at another historical crossroads? Bitcoin treasury firm Strategy signals it might break the “never sell” approach to the flagship crypto BTC. Meanwhile, U.S. lawmakers are updating the rules of stablecoin adoption, which could be a net win for the sector. Reading between the lines, what
Prediction markets will grow to $1 trillion by 2030, Bernstein estimates
Prediction market volumes are booming in 2026, on pace to more than quadruple this year alone and reach an estimated $1 trillion in the next four years, according to Bernstein. Volumes have already surged in the first few months of this year, the investment bank wrote in a report Tuesday,
