Prediction Market
Polymarket Trading Volume Declines for First Time Since August
Polymarket's operational stumbles and first volume drop in eight months highlight its struggle to maintain momentum as rival Kalshi surges ahead.
Kalshi Judge Predicts Tribe Will Win Block on Sports Contracts
A federal judge's ruling signals tribal nations may gain regulatory leverage over prediction markets under IGRA, challenging Kalshi's federal oversight argument.
A $400 AI Bet That’s Actually a High-Stakes Wager on the Future of Work
AI is already boosting US productivity, but its long-term impact on jobs remains uncertain and potentially disruptive.
Trust the Numbers? What to Do When the Data Is Under Attack
Incoming Fed Chair Kevin Warsh faces a squeeze between political pressure on official data and the rise of alternative metrics, forcing him to defend statistical neutrality.
Prediction Market Ban for US House Members, Staff Gets GOP Push
Congress moves to ban members from trading on prediction markets, targeting a new ethics loophole after similar Senate action.
Polymarket anonymity must end
Crypto prediction markets' anonymity enables manipulation like insider trading and wash trading, requiring KYC verification to build trust and gain regulatory approval.
Kalshi Secures $22 Billion Valuation in Coatue-Led Round
Prediction market platforms are seeing valuations surge as trading volumes grow, with Kalshi doubling to $22B amid intense investor interest.
Underdog Hires Former Head of Crypto.com Prediction Exchange
Underdog's hiring of a Crypto.com veteran and acquisition of CFTC licenses signals a strategic push to dominate the sports prediction market amid regulatory battles.
Kalshi Grilled by Massachusetts High Court Over What Gambling Is
Massachusetts' top court scrutinizes Kalshi's claim that prediction markets are financial swaps, not gambling, in a case testing state vs. federal regulatory authority.
Clear Street Signs Up to Kalshi in Prediction Markets Push
Prediction markets are gaining institutional legitimacy through partnerships like Clear Street and Kalshi, bridging retail popularity with Wall Street sophistication.
CFTC Reviews Trader Data Report as Kalshi Expands in Commodities
The CFTC is reviewing its key trader-position reports as prediction markets like Kalshi expand into commodities, creating a regulatory gap in data transparency.
Kalshi, Polymarket Face New Rival in Crypto’s Hottest Exchange
Hyperliquid's expansion into prediction markets challenges Kalshi and Polymarket by leveraging its integrated multi-asset platform to blur the lines between derivatives and event trading.
