Economics
Polymarket Seeks Chief Risk Officer After Legal Hiring Spree
Prediction market platform Polymarket is beefing up risk and legal leadership to satisfy CFTC demands as it pushes deeper into regulated US business while rivals also professionalize.
SEC, CFTC Move to Define Which Digital Assets are Securities
US securities and derivatives regulators jointly issued long-awaited crypto asset guidance, narrowing what counts as a security and signaling they’ll move ahead without waiting for Congress.
Macro & Micro Compass - Colombia’s Real Threat Is Not Political
Colombia’s unexpectedly competitive three-way presidential race heightens investor anxiety, as a fragmented Congress and wary electorate imperil the deep fiscal tightening needed to avoid a confidence crisis.
Polymarket Five-Minute Bets Capture ‘Addictive’ Crypto Craze
Ultra-short-term crypto prediction markets are booming as five-minute bets surge in volume, concentrating profits among algorithmic traders and raising new speed and fairness concerns.
CFTC Offers First Guidance on Manipulation in Prediction Markets
CFTC moved slightly to tighten oversight of booming prediction markets, urging pre-launch consultation on risky contracts and launching rulemaking to assert its authority over sports and geopolitical bets.
The Wildest Frat Party on Campus? Prediction Markets
Prediction markets Kalshi and Polymarket are aggressively courting college students as users and influencers, fueling insider-trading concerns, undisclosed ads and growing alarm over youth gambling risks.
Prediction Market Boom Finds a New Challenger With Asia Roots
Asia-focused prediction market Opinion, backed by Binance-linked capital and turbocharged by token-style rewards, has seen its explosive early trading volumes fade as incentive-driven activity wanes.
Iran Strikes Expose the Dark Edge Case of Prediction-Market Era
The weekend's real-world assassination of Khamenei has exposed the severe ethical and legal fault lines in an industry's quest to legitimize betting on geopolitical violence.
Kalshi and Polymarket Are Economic Oracles
Prediction markets offer central banks and policymakers a powerful new tool to gauge and influence the economic landscape.
How Polymarket and Kalshi are gamifying truth
From bettors wagering millions on Jerome Powell’s every word to billion-dollar valuations and mounting legal battles, prediction markets have leapt from fringe experiment to financial juggernaut—blurring the line between truth discovery and high-octane gambling.
Polymarket Thinks Bitcoin Will Hit $75,000 Next Week, But Charts Disagree
Prediction markets show optimism, but momentum signals hidden weakness beneath Bitcoin price. Whale accumulation hides deeper split that could decide Bitcoin’s next major move.
What happens on prediction platforms can steer traditional markets, NYSE chief says
Prediction market outcomes are being used as inputs for how players deal with traditional financial markets, NYSE President Lynn Martin said at Mar-a-Lago on Wednesday.
