The starting point of prediction markets.
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GDP

What a Burnham Premiership Means for UK Stocks

A Burnham premiership would test UK equities through gilts, fiscal credibility and sector-specific policy risk.

Is the US Going into a Recession? Odds Hit 25%, but Polymarket Traders May Be Missing the Real Risk

US recession odds are rising on Polymarket, but the 25% trade may not be as simple as it looks. The real risk could be hiding in the fine print.

Colombia’s Real Threat Is Not Political

Colombia’s unexpectedly competitive three-way presidential race heightens investor anxiety, as a fragmented Congress and wary electorate imperil the deep fiscal tightening needed to avoid a confidence crisis.

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