News
How Polymarket and Kalshi are gamifying truth
From bettors wagering millions on Jerome Powell’s every word to billion-dollar valuations and mounting legal battles, prediction markets have leapt from fringe experiment to financial juggernaut—blurring the line between truth discovery and high-octane gambling.
Rules & Mandates - Brazil approves first prediction markets as financial securities
As the US gambling industry grapples with the emergence of prediction markets, Brazil financial regulators are opening up to similar event markets. The Brazilian Securities and Exchange Commission, CVM, this week gave a green light to B3 to become the first prediction market operator in Brazil. B3 plans to launch
Polymarket Thinks Bitcoin Will Hit $75,000 Next Week, But Charts Disagree
Prediction markets show optimism, but momentum signals hidden weakness beneath Bitcoin price. Whale accumulation hides deeper split that could decide Bitcoin’s next major move.
Prediction markets want to eat the news
Regulators noticed Polymarket and Kalshi rake in cash on sports bets. So now prediction markets are cosplaying as the future of news.
Trump Promises UFO Files Release—Prediction Market Odds On Aliens Climb
Trump vows to declassify UFO files after sparring with Obama, sending “alien disclosure” odds surging on prediction markets despite Pentagon skepticism.
Mark Zuckerberg testifies for the first time ever on social media and children’s mental health, Feb 19, 2026
Los Angeles — Meta CEO Mark Zuckerberg on Wednesday testified before a jury for the first time about accusations that social media, including Instagram, harm children’s mental health. What's the paradox on Meta? Mixed content on social media?Result0.00%Fear over the control of Ai?Result0.00%
Polymarket partners with Substack to add live prediction markets to newsletters
Polymarket has announced an exclusive partnership with Substack, allowing newsletter authors to natively integrate live data from what the company describes as the world’s largest prediction market directly into their reporting. The announcement was first shared via LinkedIn, where Polymarket said that “journalism is better when it’s backed
Sports Leagues Warm To Prediction Markets After Federal Backing
With federal regulators suddenly willing to defend prediction markets, major US sports leagues are quietly softening their opposition in a pivot that closely mirrors their historic, lucrative embrace of sports contracts.
What happens on prediction platforms can steer traditional markets, NYSE chief says
Prediction market outcomes are being used as inputs for how players deal with traditional financial markets, NYSE President Lynn Martin said at Mar-a-Lago on Wednesday.
CFTC Faces More Pushback From States Over Prediction Markets
The Commodity Futures Trading Commission is facing opposition from states over its bid to be the sole regulator of prediction markets.
Wall Street Wants to Bring Election Bets Into Brokerage Accounts
Roundhill Investments has asked the US Securities and Exchange Commission for permission to launch six ETFs that would let investors wager on US election outcomes through standard brokerage accounts — the most ambitious attempt yet to bring prediction markets into mainstream finance. The proposed exchange-traded funds, disclosed in a filing
Rules & Mandates - CFTC defends its right to prediction market enforcement as states challenge platforms
CFTC Chairman Michael Selig said the agency has filed an amicus brief in federal court to assert its authority over prediction market enforcement and regulation.
