Prediction Market
Breaking News - Mark Zuckerberg Directed Meta to Create a Prediction Markets App
The experimental app, internally called “Arena,” would be independent of Facebook and Instagram. It could compete for attention with Polymarket and Kalshi, the biggest prediction markets. Will Meta launch Prediction Markets App by end of 2026? Yes - it shipsResult57.14%No - quietly killedResult42.86%7 PollsEndedTBD What would actually get
CFTC sues Kentucky over actions against prediction markets, making it first red state to face federal scrutiny
The CFTC's suit against Kentucky underscores a growing federal-state clash over regulating prediction markets as swaps versus gambling.
Meta Building Prediction Market App That Wouldn’t Wager Money
Meta is developing a social prediction-market app using points, not real money, to leverage rising industry interest without financial risk.
Kalshi Adds India to Restricted List After Prediction Market Ban
Kalshi restricts India access after authorities warn prediction markets are illegal, highlighting regulatory risks for such platforms.
We Investigated Polymarket’s Deceptive Marketing Campaign. Here’s What We Found.
Polymarket, banned in the U.S., employs deceptive social media campaigns to attract American users, risking regulatory scrutiny.
World Cup Exposes Growing Global Rift Over Prediction Markets
Prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket face global regulatory crackdowns as their explosive growth collides with gambling and securities law concerns.
The Proposed Rules for Kalshi and Polymarket Are Backward
The CFTC's proposal for provisional prediction market contracts swaps clear standards for subjective "public interest" reviews, undermining the markets' ability to aggregate dispersed information.
Polymarket Traders Clash Over $345 Million Iran Peace Market
Prediction markets struggle to resolve bets on ambiguous real-world events, exposing vulnerabilities in decentralized dispute mechanisms like UMA.
Global Chokepoint - Strait of Hormuz traffic to return to normal as soon as August, Kalshi traders speculate
Prediction markets show surging odds for Strait of Hormuz traffic normalization after Trump's Iran deal announcement, despite lingering uncertainties.
Kalshi Builds AI Agent to Stress-Test Prediction Market Bets
Kalshi uses an internal AI agent to manage complex prediction market contract wording, reflecting a trend of startups automating high-stakes tasks.
CFTC Floats Prediction Market Rule to Crack Down on War Bets
The CFTC moves to assert jurisdiction over surging prediction markets by proposing to ban bets on war and terrorism while permitting most sports contracts.
This startup wants to reduce payment friction on prediction markets
Prediction markets' growth exposes banking system lag, driving EDGE Markets to debut real-time payment solutions for traders and institutions.
