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Prediction Market

CFTC Floats Prediction Market Rule to Crack Down on War Bets

The CFTC moves to assert jurisdiction over surging prediction markets by proposing to ban bets on war and terrorism while permitting most sports contracts.

This startup wants to reduce payment friction on prediction markets

Prediction markets' growth exposes banking system lag, driving EDGE Markets to debut real-time payment solutions for traders and institutions.

George Santos’ Kalshi Bets About Himself Spark Insider Trading Investigation

The surge in prediction markets has triggered increased regulatory investigations and platform actions over insider trading concerns.

CFTC Awards Five Whistleblowers $8 Million for Enforcement Tips

The US Commodity Futures Trading Commission said it will award more than $8 million to five whistleblowers who provided information that helped agency investigators recover funds for defrauded investors. The Wall Street regulator didn’t identify the tipsters or the scheme they flagged, but said the individuals helped the agency

Traders on Kalshi indicate that May's jobs report will top Wall Street expectations

Traders on Kalshi expect that job creation in May will see a slowdown but still surpass Dow Jones consensus.

Rubio odds for GOP 2028 nominee close to overtaking Vance on Kalshi

Secretary of State Marco Rubio is seen as increasingly likely to be the GOP nominee in 2028, according to traders on prediction market platforms.

Google Engineer Charged With Insider Trading on Polymarket

Prediction markets face growing insider-trading risks as cases like the Google engineer's Polymarket bets highlight vulnerabilities.

Nine Crypto Whales Dominate Polymarket Disputes Worth Billions

Polymarket's decentralized dispute system has concentrated power in nine wallets, undermining its credibility as a truth machine and raising market integrity risks.

South Korea Probes Polymarket for Potential Gambling Violations

Prediction markets face expanding regulatory scrutiny as platforms like Polymarket clash with strict national gambling laws despite their growth.

Polymarket Is Said to Seek Japan Market Approval in Global Push

Polymarket is pushing to enter Japan's restrictive gambling market by 2030, betting on regulatory approval amid global legal and competitive pressures.

Kalshi, Polymarket Defy India Ban on Online Betting Platforms

Prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi defy India's gambling ban, testing global regulatory limits as they expand.

Virtu Starts Trading on Kalshi as Event Bets Draw in Wall Street

Institutional market-makers like Virtu Financial are entering prediction markets, legitimizing them as a new asset class despite ongoing regulatory and legal uncertainties.

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