Tech
Can You Actually Model Elon's Tweeting? Two Tools Think So
Two new analytics tools help traders on Polymarket's weekly Elon Musk tweet markets move beyond speculation, though ultimately limited by the unpredictable nature of their human subject.
AI Speedrun - How AI is helping retail traders exploit prediction market 'glitches' to make easy money
A fully automated bot quietly captured micro-arbitrage opportunities on short-term crypto prediction markets, netting nearly $150,000.
Polymarket buys fresh prediction market API startup Dome, marking second official acquisition
Onchain predictions market provider Polymarket has acquired the relatively fresh startup Dome for an undisclosed sum, according to an announcement on Thursday. Dome, part of startup accelerator Y Combinator’s Fall 2025 cohort, offers a unified API for prediction markets. In other words, it allows developers to build apps, bots,
Polymarket partners with Substack to add live prediction markets to newsletters
Polymarket has announced an exclusive partnership with Substack, allowing newsletter authors to natively integrate live data from what the company describes as the world’s largest prediction market directly into their reporting. The announcement was first shared via LinkedIn, where Polymarket said that “journalism is better when it’s backed
Ethereum Co-Founder Vitalik Buterin Calls for Prediction Market Reset
Ethereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin criticized the current direction of prediction markets, warning that an increasing focus on short-term bets risks distorting incentives and encouraging harmful behavior.
Kalshi Downloads Zoom Past Gambling Apps Ahead of Super Bowl
Just months ago, Kalshi Inc. lagged far behind FanDuel and DraftKings — the dominant players in US sports betting. Now, ahead of the Super Bowl, the crown jewel of the gambling calendar, the upstart prediction market has pulled far ahead, at least by one key metric: monthly app downloads. In January,
Coinbase Acquires The Clearing Company in Prediction Market Push
Coinbase Global Inc. announced Monday that it will acquire a derivatives clearinghouse, The Clearing Company, to boost its entry into the growing prediction markets business. The crypto trading platform said the acquisition would help it expand on its ambitions to become “the Everything Exchange.” It comes just days after Coinbase
Robinhood, Susquehanna Escalate Prediction-Market Arms Race
Robinhood Markets Inc. and Susquehanna International Group are taking over a regulated exchange that was tied to the now-defunct crypto business FTX, giving them a powerful new foothold in the fast-growing world of prediction markets. The two firms are buying a majority stake in LedgerX, a US-based
Prediction Markets Go From Fringe to Frenzy as Wall Street, Silicon Valley Pile In
The intimate meal, 60 floors above New York’s financial district, brought together a pillar of the Wall Street establishment and a young crypto upstart. The host, billionaire septuagenarian Jeffrey Sprecher, CEO of Intercontinental Exchange Inc., the owner of the New York Stock Exchange, arrived in a suit. His guest,
Bernstein Sees Prediction Markets Propelling Robinhood, Coinbase
Prediction markets just got a fresh sell-side stamp of legitimacy. In a new report, Bernstein calls them a viable asset class — arguing that what once looked like novelty bets are now being built into the foundations of mainstream finance, backed by real capital, real users and regulatory approval. The
Google to Offer Kalshi and Polymarket Data on Finance Searches
Gambling’s reach is extending deeper into the investment ecosystem as Google strikes a deal to pipe prediction market data from Kalshi Inc. and Polymarket into its finance platform. In the partnership announced Thursday, Google Finance said it will offer up the changing odds from the prediction market exchanges when
