China is helping to cushion global oil prices below $100 — but analysts warn it won’t last
China's crude import cuts have cushioned oil prices during the Iran war, yet analysts warn higher prices are needed to rebuild depleted inventories.
Kalshi is building a prediction markets 'Bloomberg Terminal' for high-end traders, source says
Kalshi is developing a Bloomberg Terminal-style interface for prediction markets, targeting professional traders as it expands into new asset classes.
Traders on Kalshi indicate that May's jobs report will top Wall Street expectations
Traders on Kalshi expect that job creation in May will see a slowdown but still surpass Dow Jones consensus.
Rubio odds for GOP 2028 nominee close to overtaking Vance on Kalshi
Secretary of State Marco Rubio is seen as increasingly likely to be the GOP nominee in 2028, according to traders on prediction market platforms.
When are prediction markets most helpful? Evercore ISI has a formula
Prediction markets are gaining institutional traction, but their forecasting reliability is hampered by low liquidity and ambiguous contract design.
AI Speedrun - OpenAI takes the lead in AI IPO horse race: 'Getting to public markets first is very important'
OpenAI's reported imminent IPO filing has sharply reversed prediction market odds, positioning it to beat Anthropic in the race to become the first major AI company to go public.
Nvidia earnings call drama: Will Jensen Huang talk 'Trump' and China chips after Xi summit?
Prediction markets are using Nvidia's earnings call to wager on geopolitical risks, from Trump mentions to tariffs and Taiwan tensions.
OpenAI trial recap: Altman testifies he never promised Musk to keep company a nonprofit, May 13, 2026
* Altman’s cross-examination has been less combative than Musk’s. * Altman was “completely caught off guard” when the OpenAI board removed him in 2023 and did not get much of an explanation why. * Altman says joining Tesla would’ve destroyed the company’s ability to follow its mission, and
Macro & Micro Compass - Nearly 40% chances of stagflation by end of 2026, traders say
Markets now see a 40% chance of stagflation versus just 21% for a soft landing, reflecting fading economic optimism.
Rules & Mandates - Trump to announce tariff truce extension, aircraft purchases from Boeing in China, traders predict
Prediction markets are pricing specific diplomatic outcomes from the Trump-Xi meeting, from Boeing orders to tariff extensions, as geopolitical events become financialized.
Traders will soon be able to bet on computer chip prices as AI drives costs skyward
Compute futures let traders hedge AI investments against volatile GPU prices in the booming artificial intelligence buildout.
Politics DOJ ends Powell probe, lifts hurdle for Trump’s Fed chair nominee Warsh, Apr 24, 2026
* The Department of Justice dropped its criminal investigation of Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell. * The move by U.S. Attorney Jeanine Pirro removes a major hurdle to President Donald Trump’s nomination of Kevin Warsh to replace Powell. * Sen. Thom Tillis, a North Carolina Republican, had put an effective hold
