AI Pioneers Back Startup Building Models to Predict Events
AI forecasting startups like Sooth Labs emerge amid prediction market boom, offering businesses new tools for geopolitical and market risk assessment.
Polymarket Loses Prediction-Market Lead After Delays, Blowback
Polymarket's disruptive, crypto-native strategy is hindering its US expansion, allowing the more regulator-friendly rival Kalshi to overtake it in trading volume and valuation.
Mandelson Vetting Fiasco Leaves Starmer Looking Like Lame Duck
Keir Starmer's authority is eroding under the weight of the Mandelson scandal, leaving him politically vulnerable ahead of crucial local elections.
Kalshi to Expand Crypto Wagers With Perpetual Futures Push
Kalshi's expansion into crypto perpetual futures marks a strategic shift beyond prediction markets toward sophisticated derivatives trading.
Prediction Markets Ramp Up Washington Lobbying to Stop US Rules
Prediction markets are ramping up lobbying to fight congressional efforts to regulate them as gambling and curb insider trading risks.
Do Hormuz Event Contracts Actually Hedge Anything? - Article 3 of the Hormuz Series, March 2026
Testing when Kalshi and Polymarket contracts hedge real commodity exposure, and when they do not.
Schwab Considering Prediction Markets Linked to Finance Events
Charles Schwab is weighing launching finance-linked prediction markets as rivals push into the space, signaling mainstream brokerages may cautiously embrace betting-style tools while shunning pure gambling.
Wall Street Quants See an Edge in Polymarket Earnings Forecasts
Prediction markets are emerging as a surprisingly accurate, potentially faster alternative to Wall Street analysts for forecasting corporate earnings.
Demon Slayer: Kimetsu No Yaiba Infinity Castle Sets the Baseline — Can Part 2 Break It?
As Demon Slayer: Kimetsu no Yaiba enters its final arc, the first installment of the Infinity Castle saga is beginning to provide a new benchmark for the franchise's commercial performance. According to data from Kogyo Tsushin and Box Office Mojo, the film continues to demonstrate strong global demand.
Kalshi Expands Commodity Predictions Market Amid War Volatility
Prediction market platform Kalshi is rapidly expanding into commodities contracts as geopolitical turmoil and volatile prices spur investors to use event betting alongside traditional hedging tools.
Prediction markets will grow to $1 trillion by 2030, Bernstein estimates
Prediction market volumes are booming in 2026, on pace to more than quadruple this year alone and reach an estimated $1 trillion in the next four years, according to Bernstein.
Trading Fame: How Prediction Markets Are Redefining Celebrity Equity
Pop culture is undergoing a radical evolution. It’s shifting from a side-hustle category on betting platforms into a sophisticated engine of social data where value is being completely restructured. From Discrete Events to Liquid Assets: The Financialization of Anne Hathaway’s 2026 As we cruise through 2026, the
