Analysis
DraftKings Is Using Its Sports-Betting Playbook to Win Prediction Markets Race
DraftKings is leveraging its dominant sports-betting infrastructure to push regulated prediction markets nationwide, targeting untaxed, higher-margin revenue and challenging early leader Kalshi despite investor impatience.
Prediction Market Boom Finds a New Challenger With Asia Roots
Asia-focused prediction market Opinion, backed by Binance-linked capital and turbocharged by token-style rewards, has seen its explosive early trading volumes fade as incentive-driven activity wanes.
Bets on Fate of Iran’s Khamenei Spark Uproar at Leading Prediction Markets
Prediction markets face mounting political and regulatory scrutiny after lucrative bets on Iran’s Khamenei and U.S. strikes raised insider-trading and war-profiteering concerns.
Kalshi and Polymarket Are Economic Oracles
Prediction markets offer central banks and policymakers a powerful new tool to gauge and influence the economic landscape.
Polymarket Insider-Trading Bet May Have Attracted More Insiders
Can you insider-trade on an investigation into your own insider trading?
Kalshi reveals insider trading case against editor for MrBeast
Kalshi suspended and fined a MrBeast editor and a California gubernatorial candidate for alleged insider trading, referring both cases to the CFTC as the booming prediction-market industry faces mounting scrutiny over market manipulation.
How Polymarket and Kalshi are gamifying truth
From bettors wagering millions on Jerome Powell’s every word to billion-dollar valuations and mounting legal battles, prediction markets have leapt from fringe experiment to financial juggernaut—blurring the line between truth discovery and high-octane gambling.
How AI is helping retail traders exploit prediction market 'glitches' to make easy money
A fully automated bot quietly captured micro-arbitrage opportunities on short-term crypto prediction markets, netting nearly $150,000.
Prediction markets want to eat the news
Regulators noticed Polymarket and Kalshi rake in cash on sports bets. So now prediction markets are cosplaying as the future of news.
CFTC Faces More Pushback From States Over Prediction Markets
The Commodity Futures Trading Commission is facing opposition from states over its bid to be the sole regulator of prediction markets.
States Encroach on Prediction Markets
The CFTC, the legitimate regulator of these financial instruments, backs Crypto.com in a lawsuit appeal.
Prediction Markets Boom as Volumes Surpass 2024 Election
The trading volume on the leading prediction markets platforms, Polymarket and Kalshi, has hit a new record high, surpassing the previous peak reached during the US presidential election last year. The recent jump in trading activity offers one of the clearest indications yet of the growing excitement around the exchanges
