United Nation
UN Secretary-General Race: Grossi Leads, Grynspan Becomes the Most Obvious Repricing Candidate
Rebeca Grynspan is still priced well behind the favorite, yet her reform profile and Security Council path deserve a closer look.
Is the UN’s Old Power Map Starting to Break?
A Routine Vote With an Unusual Signal The latest United Nations Security Council election was not just a routine diplomatic vote. It might be a warning sign. On June 3, the UN General Assembly elected Austria, Portugal, Trinidad and Tobago, Zimbabwe, and Kyrgyzstan to serve as non-permanent members of
Prediction Market Ban for US House Members, Staff Gets GOP Push
Congress moves to ban members from trading on prediction markets, targeting a new ethics loophole after similar Senate action.
Schumer Says House, White House Must Ban Prediction Market Bets
Senate Democrats push to extend a prediction market ban to all government officials amid insider trading concerns.
Insider Trading Cases Threaten Reckoning for Prediction Markets
Prediction markets boom amid insider trading allegations, triggering White House skepticism and heightened regulatory scrutiny.
California’s Billionaire Tax Looks Strong - Until You Look Closer
Strong polls make California’s billionaire tax look tempting. But the market may still be overpricing how easily “Yes” survives November.
Federal Preemption or State Sovereignty? A Legal Analysis and Prospective Assessment of Kalshi v. Nevada
Kalshi and Nevada clash over jurisdiction—federal law vs. state gambling rules. It now comes down to how nine Supreme Court justices read the statute.
Homophones, Plurals and Language ‘Rulescucks’ Are Roiling Prediction Markets
Prediction markets’ push to turn messy language into binary bets is forcing platforms into increasingly arbitrary, code-friendly rulebooks that undermine their claims to objective truth.
Trump has undermined the US national security apparatus
Trump’s unchecked rush to war with Iran, enabled by a gutted diplomatic and security apparatus, underscores how weakened institutions are eroding constitutional and practical restraints on US military power.
