News
2026 Midterms: Is Polymarket Underpricing a Democratic Sweep?
A look at Polymarket’s 2026 midterm odds, the Democratic sweep market, and whether traders are underpricing Senate risk in a broader anti-GOP backlash.
CFTC Floats Prediction Market Rule to Crack Down on War Bets
The CFTC moves to assert jurisdiction over surging prediction markets by proposing to ban bets on war and terrorism while permitting most sports contracts.
Kalshi Plans Workplace Disclosure Rule to Combat Insider Trading
Prediction markets are implementing employment disclosure requirements to combat insider trading amid growing regulatory pressure and high-profile legal cases.
This startup wants to reduce payment friction on prediction markets
Prediction markets' growth exposes banking system lag, driving EDGE Markets to debut real-time payment solutions for traders and institutions.
China is helping to cushion global oil prices below $100 — but analysts warn it won’t last
China's crude import cuts have cushioned oil prices during the Iran war, yet analysts warn higher prices are needed to rebuild depleted inventories.
Kalshi, Polymarket to Be Targeted in House GOP Stock Ban
House Republicans seek to add restrictions on lawmakers' prediction market bets to their stock trading ban bill, citing insider trading risks.
George Santos’ Kalshi Bets About Himself Spark Insider Trading Investigation
The surge in prediction markets has triggered increased regulatory investigations and platform actions over insider trading concerns.
Galaxy Digital Sets Up Prediction Market OTC Derivatives Desk
Crypto finance conglomerate Galaxy Digital has launched a trading desk to offer large investors better access to prediction markets.
CFTC Awards Five Whistleblowers $8 Million for Enforcement Tips
The US Commodity Futures Trading Commission said it will award more than $8 million to five whistleblowers who provided information that helped agency investigators recover funds for defrauded investors. The Wall Street regulator didn’t identify the tipsters or the scheme they flagged, but said the individuals helped the agency
Traders on Kalshi indicate that May's jobs report will top Wall Street expectations
Traders on Kalshi expect that job creation in May will see a slowdown but still surpass Dow Jones consensus.
Rubio odds for GOP 2028 nominee close to overtaking Vance on Kalshi
Secretary of State Marco Rubio is seen as increasingly likely to be the GOP nominee in 2028, according to traders on prediction market platforms.
Forget the Dip: Bitmine Accumulates 5.4M ETH - Tom Lee Calls Supercycle
Ethereum’s recent dip below the $2,200 mark seems to have had no impact on large scale accumulation from institutions. And even more so, it encouraged aggressive buying from some of the largest players in the market. For instance, Bitmine took the opportunity to significantly increase their Ethereum holdings
