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Are Prediction Markets Becoming the New Election Dashboard?
Reuters(July 22) - Kalshi has launched a dedicated U.S. midterm election hub combining real time prediction market prices with polling averages, campaign fundraising, historical results, and political analysis. Will prediction market becomes a standard feature of major election dashboards by Dec. 2026? YESResult50.00%NOResult50.00%2 PollsEndedTBD Notes
After the NATO Summit: What's Next for Western Security?
The latest NATO summit ended with familiar headlines: higher defense spending, stronger commitments to collective security, continued support for Ukraine, and new initiatives on defense production and military technology. NATO leaders emphasized that the alliance is moving from setting spending targets to delivering concrete capabilities, including expanded defense industrial cooperation
Polymarket Is Back in the U.S. But the Bigger Story Is What Comes Next
For more than three years, Polymarket operated outside the U.S. after settling charges with the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) in early 2022. It changed when Polymarket acquired CFTC-regulated exchange and clearinghouse QCX, giving it a legal pathway back into the American market. Since then, Polymarket
The BoE Eased Leverage Rules — But Not With the Gilt Exemption Banks Wanted
Hours before the Bank of England(BoE) published its July Financial Stability Report, we framed the leverage rule debate around three possible outcomes. Will the BoE Loosen Bank Leverage Rules to Support the Gilt Market?The Bank of England(BoE) is going to publish its July Financial Stability Report at
Next AI Energy Trade: More Power VS More Value per Watt
Brief summary of "Why the world's biggest battery maker isn't worried about AI's energy demand" and extended analysis
Data centre electricity use surged in 2025, even with tightening bottlenecks driving a scramble for solutions
Summary: A report from IEA shows that data center electricity use surged in 2025, turning power access into one of the most important constraints on the AI boom. The AI trade has usually been framed around chips, models and capital. But the International Energy Agency’s latest report points to
Deadly twin quakes are a gut punch to a Venezuelan economy already on its knees
The strongest earthquake hit Venezuela in a century, at the worst possible moment for the country's fragile political transition. Will U.S. emergency aid strengthen Venezuela’s post-Maduro government? YesResult50.00%NoResult50.00%2 PollsEnded June 25（CNN）- the disaster struck while acting President Delcy Rodríguez was
Andy Burnham Is Priced In. But Will Labour Crown Him?
Brief Analysis Andy Burnham is not just the frontrunner to replace Keir Starmer. He is now being treated by both Labour insiders and prediction markets as the almost-certain Britain’s next prime minister. Reuters reported that Darren Jones, a key ally of Starmer, ruled himself out of the leadership
Is the UN’s Old Power Map Starting to Break?
A Routine Vote With an Unusual Signal The latest United Nations Security Council election was not just a routine diplomatic vote. It might be a warning sign. On June 3, the UN General Assembly elected Austria, Portugal, Trinidad and Tobago, Zimbabwe, and Kyrgyzstan to serve as non-permanent members of
BOJ Lifts Rates to 1%: The End of Japan’s Ultra-Low-Rate Era?
The Bank of Japan has raised its policy rate to around 1.0%, with the decision approved by a 7–1 majority. The complementary deposit facility rate will also rise to 1.0%, while the basic loan rate increases to 1.25%. The new guideline takes effect from June 17,
Reprint: The Latest EU Monetary Policy Decisions
ECB Raises Rates Again as Middle East War Rewrites Europe’s Inflation Outlook Brief Analysis The European Central Bank raised its three key interest rates by 25 basis points on 11 June 2026, saying the war in the Middle East is generating new inflation pressure and creating uncertainty around the
