Signals
Kalshi, Polymarket Founders Back New Prediction Market VC Fund
A new $35 million venture fund, 5c(c) Capital, backed by prediction-market rivals Kalshi and Polymarket and top VCs, signals growing institutional confidence in regulated betting exchanges.
Major League Baseball Steps Into the Prediction Markets, Strikes Deal With Polymarket
MLB is partnering with Polymarket and the CFTC to engage prediction markets while trying to guard against game manipulation.
How ‘Irrelevant’ Prediction Market Detail Led to Death Threats
Fast-growing prediction markets are exposing a core weakness as disputed contracts and after-the-fact trading create incentives to distort information and intimidate reporters.
SEC, CFTC Move to Define Which Digital Assets are Securities
US securities and derivatives regulators jointly issued long-awaited crypto asset guidance, narrowing what counts as a security and signaling they’ll move ahead without waiting for Congress.
Arizona Files Illegal-Gambling Charges Against Predictions Platform Kalshi
Arizona’s criminal case against Kalshi underscores an escalating jurisdictional clash between states and federal regulators.
CFTC Offers First Guidance on Manipulation in Prediction Markets
CFTC moved slightly to tighten oversight of booming prediction markets, urging pre-launch consultation on risky contracts and launching rulemaking to assert its authority over sports and geopolitical bets.
The Wildest Frat Party on Campus? Prediction Markets
Prediction markets Kalshi and Polymarket are aggressively courting college students as users and influencers, fueling insider-trading concerns, undisclosed ads and growing alarm over youth gambling risks.
DraftKings Is Using Its Sports-Betting Playbook to Win Prediction Markets Race
DraftKings is leveraging its dominant sports-betting infrastructure to push regulated prediction markets nationwide, targeting untaxed, higher-margin revenue and challenging early leader Kalshi despite investor impatience.
Prediction Market Boom Finds a New Challenger With Asia Roots
Asia-focused prediction market Opinion, backed by Binance-linked capital and turbocharged by token-style rewards, has seen its explosive early trading volumes fade as incentive-driven activity wanes.
Bets on Fate of Iran’s Khamenei Spark Uproar at Leading Prediction Markets
Prediction markets face mounting political and regulatory scrutiny after lucrative bets on Iran’s Khamenei and U.S. strikes raised insider-trading and war-profiteering concerns.
Polymarket Insider-Trading Bet May Have Attracted More Insiders
Can you insider-trade on an investigation into your own insider trading?
Polymarket Thinks Bitcoin Will Hit $75,000 Next Week, But Charts Disagree
Prediction markets show optimism, but momentum signals hidden weakness beneath Bitcoin price. Whale accumulation hides deeper split that could decide Bitcoin’s next major move.
