Trump Promises UFO Files Release—Prediction Market Odds On Aliens Climb

Trump vows to declassify UFO files after sparring with Obama, sending “alien disclosure” odds surging on prediction markets despite Pentagon skepticism.

Polymarket buys fresh prediction market API startup Dome, marking second official acquisition

Onchain predictions market provider Polymarket has acquired the relatively fresh startup Dome for an undisclosed sum, according to an announcement on Thursday. Dome, part of startup accelerator Y Combinator’s Fall 2025 cohort, offers a unified API for prediction markets. In other words, it allows developers to build apps, bots,

Polymarket partners with Substack to add live prediction markets to newsletters

Polymarket has announced an exclusive partnership with Substack, allowing newsletter authors to natively integrate live data from what the company describes as the world’s largest prediction market directly into their reporting. The announcement was first shared via LinkedIn, where Polymarket said that “journalism is better when it’s backed

Sports Leagues Warm To Prediction Markets After Federal Backing

With federal regulators suddenly willing to defend prediction markets, major US sports leagues are quietly softening their opposition in a pivot that closely mirrors their historic, lucrative embrace of sports contracts.

What happens on prediction platforms can steer traditional markets, NYSE chief says

Prediction market outcomes are being used as inputs for how players deal with traditional financial markets, NYSE President Lynn Martin said at Mar-a-Lago on Wednesday.

CFTC Faces More Pushback From States Over Prediction Markets

The Commodity Futures Trading Commission is facing opposition from states over its bid to be the sole regulator of prediction markets.

Wall Street Wants to Bring Election Bets Into Brokerage Accounts

Roundhill Investments has asked the US Securities and Exchange Commission for permission to launch six ETFs that would let investors wager on US election outcomes through standard brokerage accounts — the most ambitious attempt yet to bring prediction markets into mainstream finance. The proposed exchange-traded funds, disclosed in a filing on

CFTC defends its right to prediction market enforcement as states challenge platforms

CFTC Chairman Michael Selig said the agency has filed an amicus brief in federal court to assert its authority over prediction market enforcement and regulation.

TV antennas and Super Bowl rehearsals: How prediction market traders seek an edge

One prediction market trader made thousands of dollars by listening to a rehearsal of the event and correctly guessing how long Puth's rendition of the anthem would take.

States Encroach on Prediction Markets

The CFTC, the legitimate regulator of these financial instruments, backs Crypto.com in a lawsuit appeal.

NBA commissioner Adam Silver: NBA Sees Prediction Markets the Same As Sports Betting

“We currently are looking at prediction markets essentially in the same way that we’re looking at sports betting markets or sports betting companies,” Adam Silver said at All-Star Weekend.