Polymarket Leans Toward an Overheating US Economy, But the Stagflation Trade Is Not Dead Yet
Polymarket traders are leaning toward an overheating US economy in 2026. But sticky inflation, oil risk, and a small rise in unemployment could point to a more uncomfortable outcome.
BTS Boss Arrested, Company Stock Collapsing? The Illusion of HYBE's Prosperity
Behind HYBE’s record revenues and BTS's 2026 comeback lies a sharp crisis.
CFTC Floats Prediction Market Rule to Crack Down on War Bets
The CFTC moves to assert jurisdiction over surging prediction markets by proposing to ban bets on war and terrorism while permitting most sports contracts.
Bond Trader Positioning Signals Fed Rate Hikes Are Coming Fast
Bond traders aggressively pile into positions targeting multiple near-term Fed rate hikes after a strong jobs report, setting up volatility ahead of key inflation data.
Kalshi Plans Workplace Disclosure Rule to Combat Insider Trading
Prediction markets are implementing employment disclosure requirements to combat insider trading amid growing regulatory pressure and high-profile legal cases.
Analyzing What Exactly the SpaceX IPO Catalyzes
SpaceX is slated for its initial public offering in June, with the IPO expected to be the largest ever in history, crossing the Aramco IPO which was priced at $1.7 trillion. SpaceX is now targeting a valuation of at least $1.7 trillion with the latest Polymarket predictions pricing
An Abandoned Football Match and the Fragility of “Final Score”
One abandoned friendly football match became a test of how Polymarket and Kalshi handle messy real-world outcomes.
This startup wants to reduce payment friction on prediction markets
Prediction markets' growth exposes banking system lag, driving EDGE Markets to debut real-time payment solutions for traders and institutions.
China is helping to cushion global oil prices below $100 — but analysts warn it won’t last
China's crude import cuts have cushioned oil prices during the Iran war, yet analysts warn higher prices are needed to rebuild depleted inventories.
Kalshi, Polymarket to Be Targeted in House GOP Stock Ban
House Republicans seek to add restrictions on lawmakers' prediction market bets to their stock trading ban bill, citing insider trading risks.
Kalshi is building a prediction markets 'Bloomberg Terminal' for high-end traders, source says
Kalshi is developing a Bloomberg Terminal-style interface for prediction markets, targeting professional traders as it expands into new asset classes.
George Santos’ Kalshi Bets About Himself Spark Insider Trading Investigation
The surge in prediction markets has triggered increased regulatory investigations and platform actions over insider trading concerns.
