Nvidia earnings call drama: Will Jensen Huang talk 'Trump' and China chips after Xi summit?
Prediction markets are using Nvidia's earnings call to wager on geopolitical risks, from Trump mentions to tariffs and Taiwan tensions.
After the Hottest IPO Debut (Cerebras) of the Year, Will SpaceX Top Over It, and What Next?
Cerebras Systems’ explosive Nasdaq debut has propelled the chip designer into the $100 billion club, boosting AI infrastructure landscape yet again, as it pivots from hardware sales to a direct cloud offensive against titans like Google and Microsoft. With OpenAI once eyeing the company as a "secret weapon"
There’s Still Time to Make Prediction Markets Useful
Deregulation has fueled a prediction market boom, but the resulting sports-dominated platforms now face a reckoning over whether they are gambling or socially useful forecasting tools.
Nearly 40% chances of stagflation by end of 2026, traders say
Markets now see a 40% chance of stagflation versus just 21% for a soft landing, reflecting fading economic optimism.
Virtu Starts Trading on Kalshi as Event Bets Draw in Wall Street
Institutional market-makers like Virtu Financial are entering prediction markets, legitimizing them as a new asset class despite ongoing regulatory and legal uncertainties.
Trump to announce tariff truce extension, aircraft purchases from Boeing in China, traders predict
Prediction markets are pricing specific diplomatic outcomes from the Trump-Xi meeting, from Boeing orders to tariff extensions, as geopolitical events become financialized.
Polymarket Trading Volume Declines for First Time Since August
Polymarket's operational stumbles and first volume drop in eight months highlight its struggle to maintain momentum as rival Kalshi surges ahead.
Traders will soon be able to bet on computer chip prices as AI drives costs skyward
Compute futures let traders hedge AI investments against volatile GPU prices in the booming artificial intelligence buildout.
Kalshi Judge Predicts Tribe Will Win Block on Sports Contracts
A federal judge's ruling signals tribal nations may gain regulatory leverage over prediction markets under IGRA, challenging Kalshi's federal oversight argument.
A $400 AI Bet That’s Actually a High-Stakes Wager on the Future of Work
AI is already boosting US productivity, but its long-term impact on jobs remains uncertain and potentially disruptive.
Bitcoin ETFs Add $467M in a Single Day as BTC Reclaims the $81,000 Resistance Level - $85,000 Next?
On May 5, US spot Bitcoin ETFs gained $467.38 million in net inflows. This is the fourth day of net inflows and shows that the institutional interest in BTC is now rising. Amid all this, the price of BTC has been soaring. In fact, it went past the $81,
Trust the Numbers? What to Do When the Data Is Under Attack
Incoming Fed Chair Kevin Warsh faces a squeeze between political pressure on official data and the rise of alternative metrics, forcing him to defend statistical neutrality.
