Analysis
Demon Slayer: Kimetsu No Yaiba Infinity Castle Sets the Baseline — Can Part 2 Break It?
As Demon Slayer: Kimetsu no Yaiba enters its final arc, the first installment of the Infinity Castle saga is beginning to provide a new benchmark for the franchise's commercial performance. According to data from Kogyo Tsushin and Box Office Mojo, the film continues to demonstrate strong global demand.
Global Chokepoint - Hormuz Is Not Just an Oil Story - Article 1 of the Hormuz Series, March 2026
A Hormuz shutdown would not stay in the Gulf. It would spread through fuel, freight, fertilizer, helium, and food.
Federal Preemption or State Sovereignty? A Legal Analysis and Prospective Assessment of Kalshi v. Nevada
Kalshi and Nevada clash over jurisdiction—federal law vs. state gambling rules. It now comes down to how nine Supreme Court justices read the statute.
How the Market Misread the Illinois Democrats Primary, and What to Watch Next Time
Illinois showed how prediction markets can misprice primaries by betting on cash and big names while voters reward real coalitions.
Can You Actually Model Elon's Tweeting? Two Tools Think So
Two new analytics tools help traders on Polymarket's weekly Elon Musk tweet markets move beyond speculation, though ultimately limited by the unpredictable nature of their human subject.
Georgia’s 50% Trap: Pricing Runoff Risk in the 2026 Ossoff Race
Georgia’s 2026 Senate race is less a binary contest over who leads today than a structural puzzle over whether Jon Ossoff can clear the state’s 50% threshold.
2026 Primary Barometer: Kalshi’s Trending Contracts Signal Major Shifts in Texas and Illinois
2026 Election Odds, Prediction Market Alpha, Kalshi Primary Trading, Texas Senate Odds 2026, Illinois Democratic Primary Forecast, Trump Endorsement Effect.
Macro & Micro Compass - Colombia’s Real Threat Is Not Political
Colombia’s unexpectedly competitive three-way presidential race heightens investor anxiety, as a fragmented Congress and wary electorate imperil the deep fiscal tightening needed to avoid a confidence crisis.
