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Capital Markets

Macro & Micro Compass - Southern Europe’s Structural Decoupling: A Macroeconomic Reassessment for Institutional Capital

The macroeconomic paradigm within the eurozone has structurally inverted. While the traditional Franco-German core faces industrial stagnation—with 2026 GDP growth forecasts capped at 0.8% and 0.9% respectively—Southern Europe is now driving regional expansion. Spain (2.1%), Portugal (2.0%), and Greece (1.8%) are demonstrating

Silicon Bakery - Microsoft, Amazon, Meta, and AMD: Which Can Prove the AI Payoff?

The AI capex race has become a monetization test. Microsoft, Amazon, Meta and AMD show how quickly spending converts and whether the revenue will last.

Market Rumor Follow Up - Citadel buys Situational Awareness equity holdings after steep AI losses

Ken Griffin’s Citadel has swooped in to buy a large portion of hedge fund Situational Awareness’ $16bn public equity holdings after Leopold Aschenbrenner’s investment firm endured steep losses in the AI sell-off, according to The Financial Times.

Market Rumor - Leopold Aschenbrenner’s Situational Awareness seeks to raise capital after AI rout

Situational Awareness, the $20bn hedge fund founded by former OpenAI employee Leopold Aschenbrenner, has sought to raise fresh capital from investors after suffering heavy losses during the recent rout in AI stocks, according to the Financial Times.

The Biggest Deal in Hollywood History — Will Paramount's $111 Billion Warner Bros. Acquisition Survive Three Parallel Legal Fights?

On June 12, 2026, the U.S. Department of Justice approved Paramount Skydance's acquisition of Warner Bros. Discovery, closing out an eight-month antitrust review with a finding that the deal did not pose a threat to competition. At roughly $111 billion including debt, with an equity value

Barclays Shares Slide as Higher Banker Pay Fails to Close Wall Street Gap

Barclays shares suffered their steepest decline in more than a year after its second-quarter results showed that growth in investment banking and US consumer banking had failed to match the pace set by larger American rivals.

Oracle Credit Risk Hits Near 18-Year High on AI Spending Concerns

The cost of protecting Oracle Corp.’s debt against default reached a fresh multi-year high on Monday while its existing bonds sold off, as doubts grew over whether the company’s massive investments in artificial intelligence will pay off.

Market Rumor - Hong Kong Considers Longer Stock Trading Hours, Ending Lunch Break

Hong Kong’s stock exchange is considering an extension of equity trading hours to align with most global markets, including a proposal to eliminate the lunch break, according to people familiar with the matter.

EM Stocks Headed For Weekly Loss on Tech Selloff, Rising Crude

Bloomberg: July 17, 2026, Emerging-market equities fell for a second day and are headed for a weekly decline as concerns over stretched AI valuations dragged technology shares lower, triggering a selloff across Asia.

Commodity Desk - Why War Is No Longer Enough to Drive Gold Higher

War is escalating, yet gold is falling. Central-bank demand, interest rates and investor positioningWar is escalating, yet gold is falling. Central-bank demand, interest rates and investor positioning are pulling the market in different directions. are pulling the market in different directions.

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