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Regulatory

World Cup Exposes Growing Global Rift Over Prediction Markets

Prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket face global regulatory crackdowns as their explosive growth collides with gambling and securities law concerns.

The Proposed Rules for Kalshi and Polymarket Are Backward

The CFTC's proposal for provisional prediction market contracts swaps clear standards for subjective "public interest" reviews, undermining the markets' ability to aggregate dispersed information.

The Iran deal came just in time as Strategic Petroleum Reserve hits lowest level since 1983

U.S. Strategic Petroleum Reserve stocks have fallen to a 40-year low following massive releases to counter Iran war disruptions, heightening risks of a price spike.

CFTC Floats Prediction Market Rule to Crack Down on War Bets

The CFTC moves to assert jurisdiction over surging prediction markets by proposing to ban bets on war and terrorism while permitting most sports contracts.

Kalshi Plans Workplace Disclosure Rule to Combat Insider Trading

Prediction markets are implementing employment disclosure requirements to combat insider trading amid growing regulatory pressure and high-profile legal cases.

Kalshi, Polymarket to Be Targeted in House GOP Stock Ban

House Republicans seek to add restrictions on lawmakers' prediction market bets to their stock trading ban bill, citing insider trading risks.

George Santos’ Kalshi Bets About Himself Spark Insider Trading Investigation

The surge in prediction markets has triggered increased regulatory investigations and platform actions over insider trading concerns.

Galaxy Digital Sets Up Prediction Market OTC Derivatives Desk

Crypto finance conglomerate Galaxy Digital has launched a trading desk to offer large investors better access to prediction markets.

Google Engineer Charged With Insider Trading on Polymarket

Prediction markets face growing insider-trading risks as cases like the Google engineer's Polymarket bets highlight vulnerabilities.

White House Reviews CFTC Plan to Supervise Prediction Markets

CFTC is asserting federal authority over the booming prediction market industry, proposing new rules in a jurisdictional battle with states seeking to regulate it as gambling.

Bad Behavior Is Moving Markets. Where Are the Regulators?

Lax oversight of prediction markets and traditional assets fuels insider trading risks, eroding investor trust in market integrity.

Polymarket, Kalshi Face Spanish Ban

Spain moves to block prediction platforms Polymarket and Kalshi, highlighting growing regulatory scrutiny of the fast-expanding betting markets.

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