News
Trump has undermined the US national security apparatus
Trump’s unchecked rush to war with Iran, enabled by a gutted diplomatic and security apparatus, underscores how weakened institutions are eroding constitutional and practical restraints on US military power.
CFTC Offers First Guidance on Manipulation in Prediction Markets
CFTC moved slightly to tighten oversight of booming prediction markets, urging pre-launch consultation on risky contracts and launching rulemaking to assert its authority over sports and geopolitical bets.
Women Wanted: Kalshi Pushes to Expand Far Beyond Sport Bets
Prediction market platform Kalshi is pushing beyond male-dominated sports betting to court women with pop culture and politics wagers, aiming to broaden growth and reduce legal vulnerability.
The Wildest Frat Party on Campus? Prediction Markets
Prediction markets Kalshi and Polymarket are aggressively courting college students as users and influencers, fueling insider-trading concerns, undisclosed ads and growing alarm over youth gambling risks.
Prediction Markets Picked Texas Democratic Primary Winner But Missed on GOP Race
Texas’s Senate primaries underscore how liquid prediction markets can sometimes outpace traditional polls in gauging election outcomes, yet still misfire in complex, high-profile races.
DraftKings Is Using Its Sports-Betting Playbook to Win Prediction Markets Race
DraftKings is leveraging its dominant sports-betting infrastructure to push regulated prediction markets nationwide, targeting untaxed, higher-margin revenue and challenging early leader Kalshi despite investor impatience.
Prediction Market Boom Finds a New Challenger With Asia Roots
Asia-focused prediction market Opinion, backed by Binance-linked capital and turbocharged by token-style rewards, has seen its explosive early trading volumes fade as incentive-driven activity wanes.
Iran Strikes Expose the Dark Edge Case of Prediction-Market Era
The weekend's real-world assassination of Khamenei has exposed the severe ethical and legal fault lines in an industry's quest to legitimize betting on geopolitical violence.
Bets on Fate of Iran’s Khamenei Spark Uproar at Leading Prediction Markets
Prediction markets face mounting political and regulatory scrutiny after lucrative bets on Iran’s Khamenei and U.S. strikes raised insider-trading and war-profiteering concerns.
Kalshi and Polymarket Are Economic Oracles
Prediction markets offer central banks and policymakers a powerful new tool to gauge and influence the economic landscape.
Polymarket Insider-Trading Bet May Have Attracted More Insiders
Can you insider-trade on an investigation into your own insider trading?
Kalshi reveals insider trading case against editor for MrBeast
Kalshi suspended and fined a MrBeast editor and a California gubernatorial candidate for alleged insider trading, referring both cases to the CFTC as the booming prediction-market industry faces mounting scrutiny over market manipulation.
