AI Pioneers Back Startup Building Models to Predict Events
AI forecasting startups like Sooth Labs emerge amid prediction market boom, offering businesses new tools for geopolitical and market risk assessment.
Polymarket Loses Prediction-Market Lead After Delays, Blowback
Polymarket's disruptive, crypto-native strategy is hindering its US expansion, allowing the more regulator-friendly rival Kalshi to overtake it in trading volume and valuation.
Mandelson Vetting Fiasco Leaves Starmer Looking Like Lame Duck
Keir Starmer's authority is eroding under the weight of the Mandelson scandal, leaving him politically vulnerable ahead of crucial local elections.
Kalshi to Expand Crypto Wagers With Perpetual Futures Push
Kalshi's expansion into crypto perpetual futures marks a strategic shift beyond prediction markets toward sophisticated derivatives trading.
Prediction Markets Ramp Up Washington Lobbying to Stop US Rules
Prediction markets are ramping up lobbying to fight congressional efforts to regulate them as gambling and curb insider trading risks.
Schwab Considering Prediction Markets Linked to Finance Events
Charles Schwab is weighing launching finance-linked prediction markets as rivals push into the space, signaling mainstream brokerages may cautiously embrace betting-style tools while shunning pure gambling.
Wall Street Quants See an Edge in Polymarket Earnings Forecasts
Prediction markets are emerging as a surprisingly accurate, potentially faster alternative to Wall Street analysts for forecasting corporate earnings.
Kalshi Expands Commodity Predictions Market Amid War Volatility
Prediction market platform Kalshi is rapidly expanding into commodities contracts as geopolitical turmoil and volatile prices spur investors to use event betting alongside traditional hedging tools.
Polymarket Bets on Orban Loss Jump Further as Hungarians Vote
Crypto prediction market Polymarket is betting heavily on opposition leader Peter Magyar ousting Viktor Orban as Hungary’s next prime minister, with implied odds topping 80%.
Kalshi Wins Reprieve From Arizona Criminal Case at CFTC’s Urging
A federal judge temporarily halted Arizona’s criminal case against prediction market Kalshi after the CFTC argued state prosecutions unlawfully encroach on federal authority over derivatives markets.
Weather Prediction Markets Are Booming. Can They Improve Forecasts?
Weather-focused prediction markets are rapidly expanding from niche bets to tools for testing AI models and pricing climate risk, promising sharper forecasts but raising concerns over manipulation and social value.
Singapore Minister Says Worst Case on War Not Fully Priced
Singapore warns that markets remain complacent about the Iran war’s impact as Strait of Hormuz disruptions threaten Asia’s energy security, inflation, and growth.
