The starting point of prediction markets.
34 posts

Finance

Lithium Rally Is No Longer Just About EVs, and the Market Hasn’t Fully Priced in Why

Lithium's rally already reflects a shift from EV to storage demand, but the market hasn't fully priced in what a widening 2026 supply deficit could mean next.

Next AI Energy Trade: More Power VS More Value per Watt

Brief summary of "Why the world's biggest battery maker isn't worried about AI's energy demand" and extended analysis

OpenAI proposes handing Trump administration 5% stake

According to FT, Sam Altman’s start-up in early talks for a public ownership deal as political pressure rises.

Micron Announces $250 Million Investment in Trump Accounts Reaching 1 Million Children, Families and the Future Workforce

Company launches employee matching and community seed funding, reinforcing Micron’s broader U.S. investment and workforce development strategy

In Japan, A New Type of Prediction Market is Taking Advantages of the Loophole in Gambling Regulations

From the rapidly developing point based prediction applications in Japan, we can see the demand for event forecasting is spreading into Asia. The business model is rely on the loyalty points, regulatory arbitrage and advertising, which differs from the trading fee as commonly known. Will Japan formally regulate prediction markets

CMA CGM nears $1.4 billion deal for FedEx logistics unit, sources said

French container shipping ​group CMA CGM is nearing a deal ‌to buy FedEx's third-party logistics business for $1.4 billion in cash.

Data centre electricity use surged in 2025, even with tightening bottlenecks driving a scramble for solutions

Summary: A report from IEA shows that data center electricity use surged in 2025, turning power access into one of the most important constraints on the AI boom. The AI trade has usually been framed around chips, models and capital. But the International Energy Agency’s latest report points to

SK Hynix Nasdaq IPO: Gunning for Micron or Recoiling From the Korea Discount?

SK Hynix, one of the leading manufacturers of DRAM and NAND, will list American Depositary Receipts on Nasda. Here's our thoughts:

Apple Raises Price While Micron Calls out Apple for Memory Shortage

Apple is raising prices of multiple key products as a pass-through of skyrocketed memorgy costs; While Microns seems to hold a different view. Apple vs Micron - Who Stands for the Truth? AppleResult33.33%MicronResult66.67%3 PollsEnded Apple raises prices of MacBooks, iPads as memory costs skyrocket SAN FRANCISCO,

Mark Zuckerberg Directed Meta to Create a Prediction Markets App

The experimental app, internally called “Arena,” would be independent of Facebook and Instagram. It could compete for attention with Polymarket and Kalshi, the biggest prediction markets. Will Meta launch Prediction Markets App by end of 2026? Yes - it shipsResult57.14%No - quietly killedResult42.86%7 PollsEnded What would actually get

Oil Is Pricing a Hormuz Reopening. The July Contract Needs Proof

Oil prices are already trading a Hormuz recovery, but Polymarket’s July market needs the PortWatch ship count to hit its settlement threshold before July 31.

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