Capital Markets
Fly Me to The Moon - SpaceX Falls Below IPO Price as Short Bets Mount
SpaceX shares slumped to their lowest level since the rocket, satellite, and AI company went public, briefly falling below their initial public offering price, as investor fanfare quickly evaporated in the month since its trading debut.
AI Speedrun - AI Propped Up the Global Economy. Can It Keep Doing So?
AI investment helped cushion global growth, but with hyperscaler capex nearing $725 billion, can demand and productivity justify the cost?
Breaking News - Stripe, Advent offer to buy PayPal for more than $53 billion, sources say
Stripe and private equity firm Advent International have made a joint offer to acquire PayPal Holdings Inc. for $60.50 per share, in a deal that would value the payments company at more than $53 billion, two people familiar with the matter said.
Are Weather Delay Contracts About the Weather or the Officials?
Kalshi’s weather-delay markets reveal a grey area between weather forecasting, sports betting and official discretion.
Breaking News - S&P Downgrades Oracle to BBB-
S&P Global downgraded Oracle's long-term credit rating from BBB (Negative) to BBB- (Stable), citing elevated business risk and weaker near-term cash flows.
Defense & Aerospace Radar - US Defense Backlog Growth Looks Bullish. Manufacturing Capacity Says Otherwise
Defense contractors keep winning, but the industrial base keeps losing time. A look at the budget data and what the market isn't pricing in on defense.
Arbitrage Traders Face Tougher Challenge With SK Hynix Than TSMC
Arbitrage desks looking to trade SK Hynix Inc.’s new American depository receipts are dusting off playbooks from Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. But many say the comparison only goes so far.
Macro & Micro Compass - Japan’s borrowing costs soar to 30-year high on debt fears
Japan’s borrowing costs have climbed to their highest in 30 years as investors grow increasingly concerned about the country’s heavy debt burden, weakening yen and a $2.3 trillion long-term spending plan proposed by Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi.
The Bonds Hidden Inside Prediction Markets
Prediction markets start as probability markets. Near certainty, some of them quietly become more like bond markets.
Rules & Mandates - Insight of the Rebuild: Venezuela’s Economic Recovery vs. Global Capital Constraints
Why people focus on a V-shaped Venezuelan oil recovery are mispricing global liquidity, crowding-out effects, and Big Tech’s capital monopoly.
Breaking News - SK Hynix US Offering Is More Than Seven Times Oversubscribed
SK Hynix Inc.'s US listing is more than seven times oversubscribed, according to people familiar with the matter, as the South Korean memory chipmaker prepares to price its offering Thursday.
Macro & Micro Compass - The BoE Eased Leverage Rules — But Not With the Gilt Exemption Banks Wanted
Hours before the Bank of England(BoE) published its July Financial Stability Report, we framed the leverage rule debate around three possible outcomes. Will the BoE Loosen Bank Leverage Rules to Support the Gilt Market?The Bank of England(BoE) is going to publish its July Financial Stability Report at
