Politics
Polymarket anonymity must end
Crypto prediction markets' anonymity enables manipulation like insider trading and wash trading, requiring KYC verification to build trust and gain regulatory approval.
Macro & Micro Compass - Is the US Going into a Recession? Odds Hit 25%, but Polymarket Traders May Be Missing the Real Risk
US recession odds are rising on Polymarket, but the 25% trade may not be as simple as it looks. The real risk could be hiding in the fine print.
Kalshi Grilled by Massachusetts High Court Over What Gambling Is
Massachusetts' top court scrutinizes Kalshi's claim that prediction markets are financial swaps, not gambling, in a case testing state vs. federal regulatory authority.
US soldier pleads not guilty over prediction trades on Maduro capture
A US soldier's insider-trading case on Polymarket emerges as an early legal test for regulating the rapidly growing prediction markets.
Polymarket Seeks CFTC Blessing to Bring Main Exchange Back to US
Polymarket is seeking CFTC approval to reopen its main exchange to US users, a move that could accelerate the industry's growth amid ongoing regulatory uncertainty.
Let Candidates Place Bets on Themselves — at Least Sometimes
Prediction markets banning candidates from betting on their own races raises questions about whether such wagers truly threaten electoral integrity or merely signal confidence.
Rules & Mandates - Brazil Blocks Polymarket, Kalshi Over ‘Illegal Betting’
Brazil blocks prediction markets like Polymarket, joining a global regulatory pushback against platforms accused of operating as unlicensed gambling.
France Probes Weather Data Glitch After Surge in Polymarket Bets
Prediction markets are booming, raising concerns about manipulation of critical data like airport weather sensors used for betting settlements.
California’s Billionaire Tax Looks Strong - Until You Look Closer
Strong polls make California’s billionaire tax look tempting. But the market may still be overpricing how easily “Yes” survives November.
Mandelson Vetting Fiasco Leaves Starmer Looking Like Lame Duck
Keir Starmer's authority is eroding under the weight of the Mandelson scandal, leaving him politically vulnerable ahead of crucial local elections.
Prediction Markets Ramp Up Washington Lobbying to Stop US Rules
Prediction markets are ramping up lobbying to fight congressional efforts to regulate them as gambling and curb insider trading risks.
Global Chokepoint - Do Hormuz Event Contracts Actually Hedge Anything? - Article 3 of the Hormuz Series, March 2026
Testing when Kalshi and Polymarket contracts hedge real commodity exposure, and when they do not.
