Economics
Iran Strikes Expose the Dark Edge Case of Prediction-Market Era
The weekend's real-world assassination of Khamenei has exposed the severe ethical and legal fault lines in an industry's quest to legitimize betting on geopolitical violence.
Bets on Fate of Iran’s Khamenei Spark Uproar at Leading Prediction Markets
Prediction markets face mounting political and regulatory scrutiny after lucrative bets on Iran’s Khamenei and U.S. strikes raised insider-trading and war-profiteering concerns.
Kalshi and Polymarket Are Economic Oracles
Prediction markets offer central banks and policymakers a powerful new tool to gauge and influence the economic landscape.
How Polymarket and Kalshi are gamifying truth
From bettors wagering millions on Jerome Powell’s every word to billion-dollar valuations and mounting legal battles, prediction markets have leapt from fringe experiment to financial juggernaut—blurring the line between truth discovery and high-octane gambling.
Polymarket Thinks Bitcoin Will Hit $75,000 Next Week, But Charts Disagree
Prediction markets show optimism, but momentum signals hidden weakness beneath Bitcoin price. Whale accumulation hides deeper split that could decide Bitcoin’s next major move.
What happens on prediction platforms can steer traditional markets, NYSE chief says
Prediction market outcomes are being used as inputs for how players deal with traditional financial markets, NYSE President Lynn Martin said at Mar-a-Lago on Wednesday.
Wall Street Wants to Bring Election Bets Into Brokerage Accounts
Roundhill Investments has asked the US Securities and Exchange Commission for permission to launch six ETFs that would let investors wager on US election outcomes through standard brokerage accounts — the most ambitious attempt yet to bring prediction markets into mainstream finance. The proposed exchange-traded funds, disclosed in a filing on
DraftKings Shares Lofty Prediction Markets Goals in 2026 Outlook
The online sports betting operator reported a 43% jump in sales and shared ambitious investment plans for its prediction markets platform
