Politics
Rules & Mandates - Greek shipping carve-out on Russia sanctions prompts EU rethink
Brussels is considering changing the way the European Union adopts sanctions against Russia after Greece delayed a broad package while seeking protections for a domestic shipping company.
Trump's Teleprompter Operator Faces Probe Over Kalshi Mention Market Trades
A White House teleprompter operator allegedly turned advance access to Trump’s speeches into a six-figure prediction-market edge.
Macro & Micro Compass - Fed Faces Close Call as Inflation Pressures Revive Rate-Hike Debate
Federal Reserve officials will enter this week’s policy meeting facing a renewed surge in price pressures, making the decision over whether to hold or raise interest rates unusually close — and potentially contentious.
Macro & Micro Compass - New-Home Sales, June 2026: The Cheaper House That Costs More
June’s new-home report looks like a small win for affordability. Let’s follow the lower price through to the buyer’s monthly bill.
Silicon Bakery - Over The Weekend (Wk4 Jul 2026) - Korean tech names deepen partnership with U.S; AMD under the spotlight on next-gen infra; Apple vs Micron takes a wild turn?
Korean, global tech companies to pursue partnerships worth more than $950 billion in total; AMD introduces its next-gen ai-infra products; Apple vs Micron taking another wild turn...
Are Prediction Markets Becoming the New Election Dashboard?
Reuters(July 22) - Kalshi has launched a dedicated U.S. midterm election hub combining real time prediction market prices with polling averages, campaign fundraising, historical results, and political analysis. Will prediction market becomes a standard feature of major election dashboards by Dec. 2026? YESResult46.83%NOResult53.17%489 PollsEndedTBD Notes
Three Ways to Benchmark AfD Winning Exactly Two States
Three formulas, one market: benchmarking AfD’s chance of winning exactly two September state elections.
Global Chokepoint - Hormuz Update - Container Liner CMA CGM's Emergency Fuel Surcharge Implementation
French shipping firm CMA CGM will impose an emergency fuel surcharge following the renewed escalation of hostilities in the Strait of Hormuz, effective August 1, it says in a notice posted on its website.
Breaking News - Trump to allow direct US flights to Lebanon after 41-year halt
July 21, 2026 - Announcement comes after White House meeting with Lebanese president in which Trump vowed to help ‘a lot’
Macro & Micro Compass - Two Consumers, One GDP Print: Here’s What to Expect From July 30 GDP and PCE Releases
Retail sales rose just 0.2% in June, but the gap between resilient headline data and squeezed households is widening. What to watch in the July 30 GDP and PCE releases.
The Gulf-LatAm Corridor: Securing the Physical Transition
As the global economy shifts from an era of frictionless digital expansion to one governed by absolute thermodynamic and geological limits, the foundational premises of long-duration capital allocation are fracturing....
The Sovereign AI Power Grab: Monetizing the Physical Bottleneck
By silently securing baseload power generation and controlling the physical bottlenecks of the grid, sovereign capital is transitioning from a passive investor in technology to the ultimate price-setter of the computational era.
