Economics
June NFP Report: Stability Is Priced In, But Is It Fully Supported by the Data?
Markets are pricing June NFP around 100,000-150,000 jobs, reflecting economist forecasts and recent labor data, as attention turns to how incoming prints align with current expectations.
Samsung and SK Hynix plan massive sites as part of South Korean national project
Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix plan to each build two new massive chip fabrication sites in South Korea's southwest region as part of a national project to build chip production "ecosystem" valued at 800 trillion won.
Market Rumor - Apple seeks to buy memory chips from blacklisted Chinese company
iPhone maker wants Trump administration to sign off on purchases to ease pressure from rising semiconductor prices.
What a Burnham Premiership Means for UK Stocks
A Burnham premiership would test UK equities through gilts, fiscal credibility and sector-specific policy risk.
Polymarket Says 5% Unemployment Is Still a Long Shot, but the Next Jobs Data Could Test That
Polymarket traders see 5% unemployment as a long shot, but weaker hiring, rising duration, and the next jobs report could challenge the 17% price.
When Hormuz Reopens, the Oil Shock May Not Be Over
A peace deal can reopen Hormuz, but fuel markets, refinery bottlenecks and demand will take longer to normalize.
BOJ Lifts Rates to 1%: The End of Japan’s Ultra-Low-Rate Era?
The Bank of Japan has raised its policy rate to around 1.0%, with the decision approved by a 7–1 majority. The complementary deposit facility rate will also rise to 1.0%, while the basic loan rate increases to 1.25%. The new guideline takes effect from June 17,
Reprint: The Latest EU Monetary Policy Decisions
ECB Raises Rates Again as Middle East War Rewrites Europe’s Inflation Outlook Brief Analysis The European Central Bank raised its three key interest rates by 25 basis points on 11 June 2026, saying the war in the Middle East is generating new inflation pressure and creating uncertainty around the
Polymarket Leans Toward an Overheating US Economy, But the Stagflation Trade Is Not Dead Yet
Polymarket traders are leaning toward an overheating US economy in 2026. But sticky inflation, oil risk, and a small rise in unemployment could point to a more uncomfortable outcome.
Bond Trader Positioning Signals Fed Rate Hikes Are Coming Fast
Bond traders aggressively pile into positions targeting multiple near-term Fed rate hikes after a strong jobs report, setting up volatility ahead of key inflation data.
Bad Behavior Is Moving Markets. Where Are the Regulators?
Lax oversight of prediction markets and traditional assets fuels insider trading risks, eroding investor trust in market integrity.
New ATH: 332,230 Wallets Now Hold 10,000+ XRP As Price Remains Flat
Although the price of XRP has been moving flat recently, on-chain data shows that whales have been buying this coin behind the scenes. Notably, there are now 332,230 wallets that hold over 10,000 XRP coins. This is a new ATH for XRP. Not only that, this milestone
